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Nate Silver

Should Biden step down and make Harris President?

November 20, 2024 By jamesb

This idea is being mentioned among some on the left as a last ‘screw you’ to  those who were afraid of a Woman American President and Donald Trump Trump of course…. One would kinda doubt Joe Biden would have the ‘balls’ to do such a historically crafty move….. “Is there any … [Read more...] about Should Biden step down and make Harris President?

Filed Under: Government, Law, Other Things, Politics Tagged With: Biden admin, Biden resign/Harris be President, Democrats, Government, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Nate Silver, Politics

Election Day….Nate Silver and Harry Enten models’ pick Harris by a slim margin…..

November 5, 2024 By jamesb

These pundits have bounced around but crawl back to a Harris/Walz win in the end. by a hair...Nate Cohn Ducks... Nate Silver.... At exactly midnight on Tuesday, I pressed the “go” button for the final time on our election model this year. I knew it was going to be close. I … [Read more...] about Election Day….Nate Silver and Harry Enten models’ pick Harris by a slim margin…..

Filed Under: Entertainment, Other Things, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2024 Harris, 2024 Presidential Election, FiveThirtyEight/538, Forecasts/predictions, Harry Enten, Media, Nate Cohn, Nate Silver, Politics, Polling, polls

Are the Polls Under Showing Harris?

October 12, 2024 By jamesb

Ok? The linked stuff below is from ole' Nate Silver who is getting paid from Republican Betting guy, Peter Thiel..... Silver, whose first love is betting action , made the headlines by fronting a Trump polling lead, that was NOT there a few weeks ago.... He seems to be … [Read more...] about Are the Polls Under Showing Harris?

Filed Under: Politics, Polling Tagged With: Harris polls, Media, Nate Silver, Politics, Polling, Underestimating Harris polls

Nate Silver…Disregard ‘Internal Political Polls’…..

October 11, 2024 By jamesb

They are ordered and paid for by the candidate..... The outfits ain't gonna get asked back if their product doesn't make their client happy? Most political observers find the idea of having access to inside information irresistible. Humans are fascinated by gossip. And … [Read more...] about Nate Silver…Disregard ‘Internal Political Polls’…..

Filed Under: Entertainment, Other Things, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2024 Presidential Election poll's, Entertainment, Internal Political polls, Media, Nate Silver, Politics, Polling, Polling Models, polls

Nate Silver and his prediction market connection….

September 4, 2024 By jamesb

Most political junkies and pundits regard Nate Silver formally of the FiveThirtyEight blog with reverence.,,,, BIT? Turns out there is a connection that most do NOT KNOW off..,, Silver, who most might associated with Democrats has a business relationship with Peter Thiel … [Read more...] about Nate Silver and his prediction market connection….

Filed Under: Other Things, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2024 Forecast/Projections, Betting Markets, Media, Nate Silver, Peter Thiel, Politics, Polling, Republicans

Harris Post Convention Bounce starting….

August 23, 2024 By jamesb

Kamala Harris’ Convention Bounce Begins Nate Silver’s polling average shows Kamala Harris expanding her national lead over Donald Trump, 48% to 43.7%. This is based entirely on polls conducted before Harris’ speech and before the end of the Democratic … [Read more...] about Harris Post Convention Bounce starting….

Filed Under: Entertainment, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2024 Democratic Presidential Convention, 2024 Forecast/Projections, Harris post convention bounce in polls, Nate Silver, Politics, Polling

Kennedy dropping out is gonna cost Trump More than Harris…..

August 22, 2024 By jamesb

What Might Happen to RFK Jr.’s Support Nate Silver: “In polls that test the ballot both with and without RFK, which our model diligently tracks as part of the adjustment it makes for his presence on the ballot, we find Trump losing an average of 3.0 points when Kennedy … [Read more...] about Kennedy dropping out is gonna cost Trump More than Harris…..

Filed Under: Other Things, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 3rd party campaigns for President, Donald Trump, Media, Nate Silver, Politics, Republicans, RFK Jr. dropping out, RFK Jr./Robert Kennedy Jr.

Nate Silver’s argument FOR Gov. Josh Shapiro……

August 3, 2024 By jamesb

The pundit has company in pushing for the Governor of Pennsylvania to be brought on as Kamala Harris's Vice President pick.... Nate Silver: “Well, Shapiro is the extremely popular governor of what is by far the most important swing state. He’s highly charismatic and he’s … [Read more...] about Nate Silver’s argument FOR Gov. Josh Shapiro……

Filed Under: Other Things, Politics Tagged With: 2024 Harris VP choice, Democrats, Nate Silver, Pa Gov Josh Shapiro (D), political pundits, Politics

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