Most political junkies and pundits regard Nate Silver formally of the FiveThirtyEight blog with reverence.,,,, BIT? Turns out there is a connection that most do NOT KNOW off..,, Silver, who most might associated with Democrats has a business relationship with Peter Thiel … [Read more...] about Nate Silver and his prediction market connection….
Nate Silver
Harris Post Convention Bounce starting….
Kamala Harris’ Convention Bounce Begins Nate Silver’s polling average shows Kamala Harris expanding her national lead over Donald Trump, 48% to 43.7%. This is based entirely on polls conducted before Harris’ speech and before the end of the Democratic … [Read more...] about Harris Post Convention Bounce starting….
Kennedy dropping out is gonna cost Trump More than Harris…..
What Might Happen to RFK Jr.’s Support Nate Silver: “In polls that test the ballot both with and without RFK, which our model diligently tracks as part of the adjustment it makes for his presence on the ballot, we find Trump losing an average of 3.0 points when Kennedy … [Read more...] about Kennedy dropping out is gonna cost Trump More than Harris…..
Nate Silver’s argument FOR Gov. Josh Shapiro……
The pundit has company in pushing for the Governor of Pennsylvania to be brought on as Kamala Harris's Vice President pick.... Nate Silver: “Well, Shapiro is the extremely popular governor of what is by far the most important swing state. He’s highly charismatic and he’s … [Read more...] about Nate Silver’s argument FOR Gov. Josh Shapiro……
Nate Silver comes out with pollster ratings…..
An almost 10% error rate even by the best on the list for primaries.... So the ratings have not changed very much. The top-rated pollsters — Selzer & Co. and The New York Times/Siena College — will be familiar to longtime readers. For the record, though, eligible polls in … [Read more...] about Nate Silver comes out with pollster ratings…..
Nate Silver on Democrats Good Election Night 11/7/2023….
Democrats in America continue to out perform polls and prediction's in the post Trump Era..... RightWingNut's on every level have done a DAMN good job helpiing Democrats by continuing to back an ex-President facing 91 criminal charges and push strick abortion limits that … [Read more...] about Nate Silver on Democrats Good Election Night 11/7/2023….
Nate Silver on Old Timer Biden AND Trump…..
Six weeks ago, when I considered whether Democrats would be better off nominating someone other than Biden, my conclusion was complicated: With medium confidence, I think the risks of a serious primary challenge to Biden at this point in time would outweigh the benefits … [Read more...] about Nate Silver on Old Timer Biden AND Trump…..
The Presidential Election is in 2024….Remember the polls Are For TODAY…
After their poll yesterday that joined others in showing President Biden and Donald Trump running neck and neck with Biden slightly ahead.... CNN went into overdrive about how Biden is in trouble.... Ask nost people if they think Trump could win NEXT YEAR in the … [Read more...] about The Presidential Election is in 2024….Remember the polls Are For TODAY…