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Nate Silver

Gavin Newsom HAS sunk for 2028….His Effort to Climb Back

June 23, 2026 By jamesb Leave a Comment

This Dog HAS pointed out that the California Democratic Governor, who WAS, the 'sure' pick for the 2028 Democratic Presidential nomination up to February in the polls? Has tanked.... Kamala Harris now leads.... (Most of us do NOT Think Harris , or Buttigieg will be the … [Read more...] about Gavin Newsom HAS sunk for 2028….His Effort to Climb Back

Filed Under: Media, Other Things, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2028 Democratic Presidential nomination, Democrats, Gavin Newsom 2028, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Media, Nate Silver, Politics, Polling, Sen. Jon Ossoff’s (D-Ga.)

Nate Silver & Co. Early 2026….2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination Handicap…

January 30, 2026 By jamesb

The ONLY thing agree with in the below is Newsom as the early leader.... Buttigieg and AOC have NO chance of winning in the bellwether South Carolina 2028 Democratic Presidential primary,  that has picked the nominee almost all the time in last few decades … [Read more...] about Nate Silver & Co. Early 2026….2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination Handicap…

Filed Under: Entertainment, Government, Media, Other Things, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2028 Democratic Presidential nomination, Democrats, Entertainment, Gavin Newsom 2028, Media, Nate Silver, Politics, Polling, Predictiions/Forcasting

Nate Silver…Newsom and Democrats CAN WIN the Developing Redistricting War…..

August 25, 2025 By jamesb

Democrats are fighting mad about Trump-led Republican efforts to conduct mid-decade redistricting in Texas and other states in advance of next year’s midterms — and, perhaps for a change, they’re in a mood to fight back. Late last week, a UC Berkeley poll for the Los Angeles … [Read more...] about Nate Silver…Newsom and Democrats CAN WIN the Developing Redistricting War…..

Filed Under: Government, Law, Media, Other Things, Politics Tagged With: 2025 Redistricting, California Governor Gavin Newsom (D), Democrats, Law, Media, Nate Silver, Politics, US House

Should Biden step down and make Harris President?

November 20, 2024 By jamesb

This idea is being mentioned among some on the left as a last ‘screw you’ to  those who were afraid of a Woman American President and Donald Trump Trump of course…. One would kinda doubt Joe Biden would have the ‘balls’ to do such a historically crafty move….. “Is there any … [Read more...] about Should Biden step down and make Harris President?

Filed Under: Government, Law, Other Things, Politics Tagged With: Biden admin, Biden resign/Harris be President, Democrats, Government, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Nate Silver, Politics

Election Day….Nate Silver and Harry Enten models’ pick Harris by a slim margin…..

November 5, 2024 By jamesb

These pundits have bounced around but crawl back to a Harris/Walz win in the end. by a hair...Nate Cohn Ducks... Nate Silver.... At exactly midnight on Tuesday, I pressed the “go” button for the final time on our election model this year. I knew it was going to be close. I … [Read more...] about Election Day….Nate Silver and Harry Enten models’ pick Harris by a slim margin…..

Filed Under: Entertainment, Other Things, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2024 Harris, 2024 Presidential Election, FiveThirtyEight/538, Forecasts/predictions, Harry Enten, Media, Nate Cohn, Nate Silver, Politics, Polling, polls

Are the Polls Under Showing Harris?

October 12, 2024 By jamesb

Ok? The linked stuff below is from ole' Nate Silver who is getting paid from Republican Betting guy, Peter Thiel..... Silver, whose first love is betting action , made the headlines by fronting a Trump polling lead, that was NOT there a few weeks ago.... He seems to be … [Read more...] about Are the Polls Under Showing Harris?

Filed Under: Politics, Polling Tagged With: Harris polls, Media, Nate Silver, Politics, Polling, Underestimating Harris polls

Nate Silver…Disregard ‘Internal Political Polls’…..

October 11, 2024 By jamesb

They are ordered and paid for by the candidate..... The outfits ain't gonna get asked back if their product doesn't make their client happy? Most political observers find the idea of having access to inside information irresistible. Humans are fascinated by gossip. And … [Read more...] about Nate Silver…Disregard ‘Internal Political Polls’…..

Filed Under: Entertainment, Other Things, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2024 Presidential Election poll's, Entertainment, Internal Political polls, Media, Nate Silver, Politics, Polling, Polling Models, polls

Nate Silver and his prediction market connection….

September 4, 2024 By jamesb

Most political junkies and pundits regard Nate Silver formally of the FiveThirtyEight blog with reverence.,,,, BIT? Turns out there is a connection that most do NOT KNOW off..,, Silver, who most might associated with Democrats has a business relationship with Peter Thiel … [Read more...] about Nate Silver and his prediction market connection….

Filed Under: Other Things, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2024 Forecast/Projections, Betting Markets, Media, Nate Silver, Peter Thiel, Politics, Polling, Republicans

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  • jamesb on Open Thread for 7/18/2026…The Democratic Nomination and 2028 Election …: “Morning…….. Donald is just gonna keep dragging himself and ‘his’ party DEEPER into Hole…..” Jul 31, 09:31
  • jamesb on Trump Poll Numbers Range from Approval’s of Only 28% to 44% …7/29/2026….: “More….. Trump’s Approval Is Cratering Here’s a roundup of the latest polls showing President Trump’s approval rating: CNN: 34% AP-NORC:…” Jul 30, 14:22
  • jamesb on Open Thread for 7/18/2026…The Democratic Nomination and 2028 Election …: “Morning…..” Jul 30, 11:56
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  • My Name Is Jack on Open Thread for 7/18/2026…The Democratic Nomination and 2028 Election …: “So the field is set for the Republican special primary to replace the deceased Lindsay Graham as the candidate in…” Jul 29, 14:42

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