Nate Silvers ponders the above question.... Nate SilverVerified account @NateSilver538 Jul 22 Old enough to remember to like 2 years ago when the fashion was to treat the numbers among independents as the most important part of the poll. Now just the … [Read more...] about Is the Republican party ONLY Donald Trump’s base?
Nate Silver
Axios …Dem’s can’t win the Senate…Nate Silver…Don’t believe this….
Beware of bad forecasts based on bad polling analysis ...... To win the Senate, Democrats need to keep all 10 seats they're defending in states that President Trump won in 2016 — plus pick up two more seats. Why it matters: That's not happening. A new Axios/SurveyMonkey poll … [Read more...] about Axios …Dem’s can’t win the Senate…Nate Silver…Don’t believe this….
In Defense of Polls….Nate Silver…Pollster Ratings 2018
He mounts a defense of political polling and does his annual ratings of outfits.... With the 2018 midterm elections approaching, we’ve updated FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings for the first time since the 2016 presidential primaries. Based on how the media portrayed the … [Read more...] about In Defense of Polls….Nate Silver…Pollster Ratings 2018