The iconic pundit admits that his projections based on his poll sampling needs to be changed for the better..... The linked piece is LONG and detailed.... At the end of each election cycle, I like to consider what changes we might make to our models in forthcoming cycles. … [Read more...] about Nate Silver & Co admit their forecasting needs changes…
On August 25th a little more then 2 months from Election Day Charlie Cook went ahead and said the above...... A Lot of other pundits have gotten weird these days.... They are finding ways to make things more of a horse race like cable news channels and more likely to cover … [Read more...] about Charlie Cook….This is Not a Close Race….
He mounts a defense of political polling and does his annual ratings of outfits.... With the 2018 midterm elections approaching, we’ve updated FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings for the first time since the 2016 presidential primaries. Based on how the media portrayed the … [Read more...] about In Defense of Polls….Nate Silver…Pollster Ratings 2018