These pundits have bounced around but crawl back to a Harris/Walz win in the end. by a hair...Nate Cohn Ducks... Nate Silver.... At exactly midnight on Tuesday, I pressed the “go” button for the final time on our election model this year. I knew it was going to be close. I … [Read more...] about Election Day….Nate Silver and Harry Enten models’ pick Harris by a slim margin…..
Forecasts/predictions
One polling outfit has a possible Harris win of 303 Electoral votes…
Democratic leaning Public Policy Polling is out with a post convention polling view...... In the last week and a half PPP has done over 30 polls both statewide and in various districts in Arizona, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, … [Read more...] about One polling outfit has a possible Harris win of 303 Electoral votes…
Charlie Cook….This is Not a Close Race….
On August 25th a little more then 2 months from Election Day Charlie Cook went ahead and said the above...... A Lot of other pundits have gotten weird these days.... They are finding ways to make things more of a horse race like cable news channels and more likely to cover … [Read more...] about Charlie Cook….This is Not a Close Race….
Don’t count your Biden chicken’s before they hatch?
That's the word for CNN's Harry Enten, and of course he's Right.... For the past couple of months Joe Biden has been rising steadily in just about every national and state poll... Donald Trump is at his lowest approval ratings in the polls... Even leaks has indicated … [Read more...] about Don’t count your Biden chicken’s before they hatch?
Joe Biden has this…Right?
Nate Cohen over at the Upshot does a piece in the NY Times about how Biden , who leads in all but a few early Democratic Presidential nomination polls, has a very good chance , but ? The bookies and some other's favor Kamala Harris.... It depends on history repeating itself … [Read more...] about Joe Biden has this…Right?
FiveThirtyEight on will the Midterms effect who Dem’s pick in 2020?
Joe Biden IS the frontrunner right now.... While there are a LOT of people looking to run? Biden remains the guy who can pull the votes from the middle of the party, which is the sweet spot..... The outcome of the midterms actually should have little effect on if Biden … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight on will the Midterms effect who Dem’s pick in 2020?
Primary Days the second week of Sept. 2018….
All good things must come to an end. After six months, 19 election days and seven live blogs, it’s time to say goodbye to primary season. But before you grieve, a parting gift: three consecutive nights of electiony goodness. On Tuesday, New Hampshire goes to the polls; on … [Read more...] about Primary Days the second week of Sept. 2018….