This from Five Thgirty Eight...... If there's one thing we've learned since March 2020, it's that pandemics are all about hard decisions. It's hard to keep track of the information that helps us make those choices — let alone notice or remember when new science and expert … [Read more...] about Some info on Covid-19 going forward…..Masks still work, even if you’re the only one using them….
FiveThirtyEight/538
Nate Silver & Co admit their forecasting needs changes…
The iconic pundit admits that his projections based on his poll sampling needs to be changed for the better..... The linked piece is LONG and detailed.... At the end of each election cycle, I like to consider what changes we might make to our models in forthcoming cycles. … [Read more...] about Nate Silver & Co admit their forecasting needs changes…
Nate Silver….Less than week out…The Presidential race isn’t tightening….
We ALL say it will.... It's natural.... But the pundit guru Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight doesn't see a redo of 2016 when Donald Trump's polling rose and Hillary Clinton's had the bottom begin to drop out around October 17th.... Joe Biden's national and state … [Read more...] about Nate Silver….Less than week out…The Presidential race isn’t tightening….
FiveThirtyEight releases its Presidential forecast…Biden by a mile…..
Less than 3 months out? Joe Biden by more that 2-1..... Nate Silver @NateSilver538 Our forecast is up!!! It gives Joe Biden a 71% chance of winning and Donald Trump a 29% chance. 2020 … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight releases its Presidential forecast…Biden by a mile…..
…On Masks?…Five Thirty Eight…
Hmmmmm? Trump's people just suggested you wear them.... TRUMP"S people... ...the messaging about mask usage remains muddled. That’s true for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which updated its public recommendations to include wearing masks whenever you go … [Read more...] about …On Masks?…Five Thirty Eight…
FiveThirtyEight joins others in forecasting a Biden Democratic Presidential nomination win…
Just about all the other forecasts on the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination predict the same... A Joe Biden capture.... Voting starts in less than a month... The 538 model has Biden taking Iowa and Sanders taking New Hampshire... After that? The model's have … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight joins others in forecasting a Biden Democratic Presidential nomination win…
The next Democratic Presidential nomination debate is November 20th….
There will be 10 people on stage.... There will also be a December 19th one... While Joe Biden still leads the field? The drama has heated up below him.... Elizabeth Warren's health plan roll out has cost her a slight dip in the polls.... Bernie Sanders heart … [Read more...] about The next Democratic Presidential nomination debate is November 20th….
Republicans Won Both Elections In North Carolina — But It’s Not All Bad News For Democrats…
FiveThirtyEight on last nights 2 for 2 North Carolina Republican wins in CD 3 and 9..... On Tuesday, North Carolina played host to the most closely watched election since the 2018 midterms. On paper, it was Republicans who emerged victorious, going 2-for-2 in two separate … [Read more...] about Republicans Won Both Elections In North Carolina — But It’s Not All Bad News For Democrats…