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Political Projections/Forecasts

2024 General Election Thoughts…End of April 2023….

April 29, 2023 By jamesb

I said in my post on the 2024 Democratic Primary that the party’s chances of winning the White House would not be impacted. Whether it’s Biden or on the off chance it’s Marianne Williamson, D’s have an 85% chance of victory, and that is merely against a non-Trump/DeSantis … [Read more...] about 2024 General Election Thoughts…End of April 2023….

Filed Under: Entertainment, Government, Other Things, Politics, Polling Tagged With: Biden 2024 re-election campaign, Democrats, Ghost of SE@ Politicaldog101, Government, Joe Biden, Political Projections/Forecasts, Politics, President Biden 2024 Presidential Run

There ARE Different polls saying Different things going into the Midterm vote…

October 30, 2022 By jamesb

REALLY? Of course there ARE.... I post polls from Real Clear Politics here.... For those who don't it? They present an easy display of daily polls.... But? They often exclude polls favourable to Democrats.... Fox, Rasmussen and Trafalgar go one … [Read more...] about There ARE Different polls saying Different things going into the Midterm vote…

Filed Under: Entertainment, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2022 Midterm election's, Media, Non-Paritsan polls, Partisan polls, Political Projections/Forecasts, Politics, Polling, Split -Ticket.Org

Nate Silver & Co admit their forecasting needs changes…

June 8, 2021 By jamesb

The iconic pundit admits that his projections based on his poll sampling needs to be changed for the better..... The linked piece is LONG and detailed.... At the end of each election cycle, I like to consider what changes we might make to our models in forthcoming cycles. … [Read more...] about Nate Silver & Co admit their forecasting needs changes…

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: FiveThirtyEight/538, Nate Silver, Political Projections/Forecasts, Politics, Polling, pundits

Pundit Charlie Cook joins the chorus predicting a Trump one term…

May 13, 2020 By jamesb

While the betting markets have President Trump keeping his job for another 4 years.... A growing body of political pundits are seeing just the opposite... There is a growing body of evidence that Donald Trump won't be able to magically pull a rabbit out of a hat and win his … [Read more...] about Pundit Charlie Cook joins the chorus predicting a Trump one term…

Filed Under: Government, Politics, Polling Tagged With: Charlie Cook, Congress, Democratic 2020 election gains, Political Projections/Forecasts, Politics, Polling, Recession economy, Republicans, Trump one Term?

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Recent Comments

  • Ghost of SE on Governor’s DeSantis vs Newsom Debate coming …..Open Thread for 11/26/2023: “Somebody had to give Santos a proper send off, so I decided that person would be me. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=EHShEXkWTV0” Dec 3, 19:19
  • jamesb on Governor’s DeSantis vs Newsom Debate coming …..Open Thread for 11/26/2023: “We’ll see….. She did absolutly NOTHING on the mission to deal with immigration in South America…. I agree with the…” Dec 3, 17:44
  • Democratic Socialist Dave on Governor’s DeSantis vs Newsom Debate coming …..Open Thread for 11/26/2023: “Not to be confused with Mills Godwin (1914-99), the late (Democratic and then Republican) governor of Virginia.” Dec 3, 17:18
  • Ghost of SE on Governor’s DeSantis vs Newsom Debate coming …..Open Thread for 11/26/2023: “Harris stepping it up and burnishing her credentials on the world stage. https://www.npr.org/2023/12/02/1216719613/harris-dubai-climate-gaza-young-voters” Dec 3, 17:10
  • Ghost of SE on Governor’s DeSantis vs Newsom Debate coming …..Open Thread for 11/26/2023: “RIP Myles Goodwyn, 75 y/o, singer from April Wine. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=t4S3CV9hu6E&pp=ygUianVzdCBiZXR3ZWVuIHlvdSBhbmQgbWUgYXByaWwgd2luZQ%3D%3D” Dec 3, 17:04

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