By Josh Hermsmeyer @ FiveThirtyEight... PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES After starting quarterback Alex Smith broke his leg in Week 11, the Washington Redskins rode their journeyman backup, Colt McCoy, to two losses and a 7-3 deficit against … [Read more...] about The Stats Say Washington Should Have Signed Colin Kaepernick (And It’s Still Not Too Late!)
Joe Biden IS the frontrunner right now.... While there are a LOT of people looking to run? Biden remains the guy who can pull the votes from the middle of the party, which is the sweet spot..... The outcome of the midterms actually should have little effect on if Biden … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight on will the Midterms effect who Dem’s pick in 2020?
All good things must come to an end. After six months, 19 election days and seven live blogs, it’s time to say goodbye to primary season. But before you grieve, a parting gift: three consecutive nights of electiony goodness. On Tuesday, New Hampshire goes to the polls; on … [Read more...] about Primary Days the second week of Sept. 2018….
FiveThirtyEight does a summary of the Special Counsel's progress so far.... As the summer drew to a close, Labor Day attained almost mythic status for followers of the Mueller investigation. Trump attorney Rudy Giuliani repeatedly claimed that the Mueller probe, which is … [Read more...] about Mueller investigation’s update Sept. 8, 2018….
Why? Simply because Texas polling tends to be off by as much as 8% points on average .... The August polling averages were off by between 5 points and 14 points in any given year. On average since 1990, they were off by about 8 points. Of course, that error could cut … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight gives a reason why Ted Cruz probably isn’t doing as bad a s polls show….
Everybody could be wrong like in November 2016.... But it doesn't seem like THAT is the case this time.... Democrats are favored to gain control of the House of Representatives in this year’s midterm elections, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast model. But — a very … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight explains their Democratic House majority prediction….
The forecast, at this time, a little less then 3 months out , is for anywhere from 14 to 58 seats.... FiveThirtyEight has launched its House forecast for this year’s midterm elections. Democrats currently have a 75% chance to win control with an average predicted gain of … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight…Democrats chances of Majority House come next year…75%…….
And more of them vote Democratic.... ....From FiveThirtyEight.... If women were the only ones who voted, races that are closely contested now would turn into Democratic blowouts, today’s safe Republican seats would turn into toss-ups, and Democrats would win the House … [Read more...] about More women will vote in November’s Midterm elections…