Why? Simply because Texas polling tends to be off by as much as 8% points on average .... The August polling averages were off by between 5 points and 14 points in any given year. On average since 1990, they were off by about 8 points. Of course, that error could cut … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight gives a reason why Ted Cruz probably isn’t doing as bad a s polls show….
Everybody could be wrong like in November 2016.... But it doesn't seem like THAT is the case this time.... Democrats are favored to gain control of the House of Representatives in this year’s midterm elections, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast model. But — a very … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight explains their Democratic House majority prediction….
The forecast, at this time, a little less then 3 months out , is for anywhere from 14 to 58 seats.... FiveThirtyEight has launched its House forecast for this year’s midterm elections. Democrats currently have a 75% chance to win control with an average predicted gain of … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight…Democrats chances of Majority House come next year…75%…….
And more of them vote Democratic.... ....From FiveThirtyEight.... If women were the only ones who voted, races that are closely contested now would turn into Democratic blowouts, today’s safe Republican seats would turn into toss-ups, and Democrats would win the House … [Read more...] about More women will vote in November’s Midterm elections…
Not anymore..... I HAVE made the point here countless times that Trump has had Democratic leanings when he took office.... I have gotten flack on my views... I only see those very few of those leanings pop up for a few minutes these days They are promptly … [Read more...] about Before Trump moved into the White House, he took a mix of liberal and conservative positions…
This is their 4 months out snapshot.... It's kinda up in the air.... But Democrats would need some heavy lifting to make Chuck Schumer the Majority Senate leader in January.... January 2021 is another story... How are Democratic incumbents doing in Indiana, Michigan … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight on Democratic US Senate chances this fall….
This isn't really true all the time.... But the media editors want it to be... State and local governments have a huge influence on citizens’ daily lives. They spend people’s tax dollars. They decide how schools operate and what constitutes a crime. And yet, few people seem … [Read more...] about All Politics Is National Because All Media Is National…FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight games out what might happen if Donald Trump was to go after Special Prosocutor Robert Mueller by firing his boss Deputy Attorney General Ron Rosenstein.... Trump has ALREADY tried to muscle Rosenstein... What would happen if Trump were to give Rosenstein … [Read more...] about If Trump Fires Rosenstein?