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predictions

The guy that guessed Trump’s win last time says he’s gonna lose this time….

October 23, 2020 By jamesb

Allan Lichtman joins the crowd in predicting Donald Trump will be a one term President.... ON NOV. 8, 2016, President Donald Trump won an upset victory that blindsided reporters, pundits and much of the American electorate. Overwhelmingly, election forecasts got … [Read more...] about The guy that guessed Trump’s win last time says he’s gonna lose this time….

Filed Under: Government, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2020 Presidential winner, Allan Lichtman, Forecasts, Politics, predictions

Cook Political Report House Update 8/24/18….Republicans ability to stop Democratic ‘wave’ closing…

August 25, 2018 By jamesb

Day by day?..... More Republican House races move away from their candidates.... David Wasserman @ Cook thinks that there will little change in the basic movement of voters from the polling in the next two weeks until votes are cast in November....Voters are already making up … [Read more...] about Cook Political Report House Update 8/24/18….Republicans ability to stop Democratic ‘wave’ closing…

Filed Under: Government, Law, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2018 Midterm elections, Cook Political Report, Democratic 'Wave' election, Democratic House majority, Polling, predictions

FiveThirtyEight explains their Democratic House majority prediction….

August 18, 2018 By jamesb

Everybody could be wrong like in November 2016.... But it doesn't seem like THAT is the case this time.... Democrats are favored to gain control of the House of Representatives in this year’s midterm elections, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast model. But — a very … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight explains their Democratic House majority prediction….

Filed Under: Politics Tagged With: 2018 Midterm elections, Democratic gains in 2018 midterms, FiveThirtyEight, Politics, predictions

Roll Call House ratings change’s….

March 21, 2018 By jamesb

The 'wave' seems to be forming bigger and BIGGER as a result of the Illinois primaries..... The Illinois primaries are in the books, setting the stage for an important set of congressional elections in November. Assuming Democrat Conor Lamb is certified as the winner of the … [Read more...] about Roll Call House ratings change’s….

Filed Under: Government, Politics Tagged With: 2018 House races, Illinois primaries, predictions, Ratings changes

Could Democrats gain as many as 30 to 45 House seats in November?

March 20, 2018 By jamesb

Stu Rothenberg adds to the chorus of pundits that are  predicting a Democratic 'wave' election for the November Midterms.... He builds his case on a new March 10-14 NBC News/WSJ poll....... Trump drew about 46 percent of the vote in 2016, so the current numbers suggest a … [Read more...] about Could Democrats gain as many as 30 to 45 House seats in November?

Filed Under: Government, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2018, Congressional districts, Democrats, Midterms, predictions, Stu Rothenberg, Trump approval

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