The ‘wave’ seems to be forming bigger and BIGGER as a result of the Illinois primaries…..
The Illinois primaries are in the books, setting the stage for an important set of congressional elections in November.
Assuming Democrat Conor Lamb is certified as the winner of the special election in Pennsylvania’s 18th District, Democrats still need a net gain of 23 seats to win the House majority. That’s a big enough gap that Democrats, instead of cherry-picking victories around the country, need to pick up a handful of seats in a few places. Illinois might be one of those states.
At this point, it feels like Democrats expect to gain at least two seats based on their confidence in a suburban surge in the 6th District and the strength of their nominee in the 12th District. A great night for Democrats would include victories in the 13th and 14th districts as well.
All four GOP-held seats could become even more vulnerable if the national political environment turns further away from Republicans, and if GOP Gov. Bruce Rauner’s re-election chances tank at the top of the ballot…..