Political Dog 101

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Cruz

Democrats hope O’Rourke will have coattails for state and local Texas Dem’s…

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Beto O'Rourke IS being seen as a John Kennedy rebirth.... His chances of winning his Senate race is doubtful for  a Democrat in Red State Texas... Even with raising YUGE amounts of campaign money... But? Could he help State and Local Democrats in the state get more … [Read more...] about Democrats hope O’Rourke will have coattails for state and local Texas Dem’s…

He’ll probably lose… but Texas Democrat O’Rourke has raised almost $40 MILLION just in the last 3 months…

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Beto O'Rourke is all that for the media..... But? He's a Democrat running in RED State Texas..... Texas GOP US Senator Ted Cruz looks worried actually.... But he's been ahead of O'Rourke in the polling all the way thru the race.... Oh? Democrat O'Rourke has … [Read more...] about He’ll probably lose… but Texas Democrat O’Rourke has raised almost $40 MILLION just in the last 3 months…

Nate Silver thinks Beto O’Rourke just Could beat Ted Cruz down in Texas….

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A month out the FiveThirtyEight guy does a lot of talking about how factors OTHER than the polls could be signaling a possible upset win for Democratic Beto O'Rourke in the Texas US Senate race... So when I build election forecasts for FiveThirtyEight, I’m usually not … [Read more...] about Nate Silver thinks Beto O’Rourke just Could beat Ted Cruz down in Texas….

FiveThirtyEight gives a reason why Ted Cruz probably isn’t doing as bad a s polls show….

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Why? Simply because Texas polling tends to be off by as much as 8% points on average .... The August polling averages were off by between 5 points and 14 points in any given year. On average since 1990, they were off by about 8 points. Of course, that error could cut … [Read more...] about FiveThirtyEight gives a reason why Ted Cruz probably isn’t doing as bad a s polls show….