Ok?
The media stories ARE ALL over the place with crazy assed theories ….
Lets get REAL….
Two Years IS a LONG time in Politics…
Yes…
The odds STRONGLY Favor a Democratic Next President in response to the Trump debacle….
Right Now?
Republicans ARE in a Bad place….
JD vance, who LEADS the 2028 GOP Polling ….
IS in a BAD place because of his bosses HUGE beat down…
Rubio is in no better place…
The second tier guys are now in the picture…
Sooooo?
Will the Democratic political ‘High’ Last?
Brutal red-state losses are raising alarm among Republicans about the 2028 presidential battlefield.
Democrats’ midterm blowout is upending the political calculus for future presidential campaigns, more than a dozen strategists on both sides told POLITICO. Republicans are stressing the ramifications of a major tranche of once-reliably Republican Electoral College votes being in jeopardy, while Democrats are weighing how much surprise wins on red turf should reshape their electoral strategy.
“Last night undoubtedly made the mechanics of winning in 2028 harder for Republicans,” said former Trump 2020 campaign manager Bill Stepien.
Stepien lamented that Republicans had lost both once-swing Midwestern states like Ohio that Trump had brought toward the GOP, as well as formerly red Sunbelt states like Georgia and Arizona that have moved steadily left in the Trump era…
…
Trump had rearranged the electoral map for the past 12 years with a blue-collar coalition that moved Ohio and Iowa safely into Republicans’ ledger, turned Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania into true swing states and did enough in the Sun Belt to keep Texas from being in play. But that all fell apart this week as Democrats romped across the map. If things don’t change fast after Tuesday’s results, Republicans fear that the party’s next nominee will confront a bleak map akin to 2008 or 2012, when the GOP had an excruciatingly narrow path to victory.
Marc Short, who served as chief of staff to former Vice President Mike Pence, compared this year’s GOP gutting to Republicans’ 2006 midterm shellacking, which foreshadowed Democrats taking the White House and building massive majorities two years later.
“[Republicans] didn’t bottom in 2006, you bottomed after 2008,” said Short.
Democrats know that recreating their historically large estimated 14-point national popular vote blowout isn’t likely in the 2028 presidential election, and that Trump’s historic unpopularity was a major factor in the midterms.
“It’s not fait accompli that any of those voters that came over will stay with us, in the same way that they didn’t stay with Donald Trump after this last cycle, or they didn’t stay with Joe Biden after 2020,” said Dan Kanninen, former battleground states director for former Vice President Kamala Harris’ 2024 campaign. But the electoral map suddenly looks a lot different to strategists than it did a few days ago….
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