Two weeks out.... Nate Cohn on his view of the status of the polls two weeks out from Election Day.... With two weeks to go, the polls of the presidential election are starting to run out of room to get any closer. Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump are essentially tied — … [Read more...] about Slight shift to Trump in the polls….Harris with a slim lead….
2024 Forecast/Projections
The Reason Why some of us see a Harris Win….
I KNOW a lot of pundits and media outfits are worried about Clinton/Trump 2016 Election night..... But THAT was Then.... Last time around? Donald Trump LOST..... And he's been losing ever since.... If you are political junkie (Dog like me) looking into … [Read more...] about The Reason Why some of us see a Harris Win….
Looking like Democrats could be in charge of the House next year….
So is the impression the Cook Report is out with a month out from Election Day.... The nonpartisan group Cook Political Report has shifted five House races toward Democrats, a sign of momentum for the party in the Midwest. Two Iowa races have moved into toss-up territory, as … [Read more...] about Looking like Democrats could be in charge of the House next year….
Nate Silver and his prediction market connection….
Most political junkies and pundits regard Nate Silver formally of the FiveThirtyEight blog with reverence.,,,, BIT? Turns out there is a connection that most do NOT KNOW off..,, Silver, who most might associated with Democrats has a business relationship with Peter Thiel … [Read more...] about Nate Silver and his prediction market connection….
Another outfit has Harris Winning over Trump…..
70 days out from the November 5th Presidential Election..... Several outfits ARE projecting a Harris/Walz win RIGHT NOW ..... AND? Some are talking about a possible sweep (Unlikely) by Democrats being possible in both chambers of the Congress...... For Congress things … [Read more...] about Another outfit has Harris Winning over Trump…..
Harris Post Convention Bounce starting….
Kamala Harris’ Convention Bounce Begins Nate Silver’s polling average shows Kamala Harris expanding her national lead over Donald Trump, 48% to 43.7%. This is based entirely on polls conducted before Harris’ speech and before the end of the Democratic … [Read more...] about Harris Post Convention Bounce starting….
President Biden HAS a Big lead with those who actually vote…But?
Nato Cohn in the NY Times points to the divide between engaged and engaged voters.... Biden owns the ones engaged in Who and What Trump has done and IS........ Doanld Trump owns the others.... The Cohn picture has problems for Biden.... (Everybody does NOT vote, a … [Read more...] about President Biden HAS a Big lead with those who actually vote…But?