— A House forecasting model based on post-World War II history, the number of seats the presidential party holds going into the midterm, and House generic ballot polling can give us a good sense of what might happen in the House. — However, one important factor that the model … [Read more...] about Sabato’s outfit STILL has the Democrats taking a US House Majority even with redistricting dancing….
2026 US House Redistricting
Dear Panicrats: You’re Going to Win….
. Johnathan V. Last @ The Bulwark…… Post-Election On Tuesday I wrote about how Republicans are hoping to use a combination of gerrymandering, court rulings, and liberal commitments to process in order to build something like the Electoral College for the House. It’s … [Read more...] about Dear Panicrats: You’re Going to Win….
State-by-State guide to the Redistricting Fight
Could some Democratic states try to go back and try another redistricting change? Below is the Red State efforts.... Democrats ARE still seen as having the best chance to get back a US House Majority.... But by a slimmer margin... Legislative voting … [Read more...] about State-by-State guide to the Redistricting Fight
Democrats Need to Rejoin the Redistricting Fight….
Since Alito and his crew threw things back the Republican way ? The political land scape has changed.... Republicans play for Keeps.... It IS time for Democrats in Blue States to Wake UP and Do likewise..... (The new and current media hysteria should be a warning to … [Read more...] about Democrats Need to Rejoin the Redistricting Fight….
Sabato’s House Rating Changes…..in Florida, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Elsewhere
— In addition to formalizing nine ratings changes in Florida following the state adopting a new Republican gerrymander, we also are making eight other changes. — These come in some states that were at the center of Tuesday night’s electoral action: Ohio, Michigan, and Indiana, … [Read more...] about Sabato’s House Rating Changes…..in Florida, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Elsewhere
IF Republicans rush to Redistrict?…Why Can’t Democrats?
The media is foaming at mouth how several Red states might rush to redraw House districts that steal Democratic voters from counting in House races... That's messed up.... But? If Republican led states do it? Why can't Democratic states follow suit? Some … [Read more...] about IF Republicans rush to Redistrict?…Why Can’t Democrats?
Some Republican’s ARE Worrying About ReDistricting…
Some GOPer's ARE Gung Ho to collect MORE House Districts... BUT? The 2026 Midterm Elections politics ain't THAT simple.... President Trump is NOT popular and Republicans are NOT doing good in elections since Trump srated his second term... And? He ain't running … [Read more...] about Some Republican’s ARE Worrying About ReDistricting…