Democrats Need to Rejoin the Redistricting Fight….

Since Alito and his crew threw things back the Republican way ?

The political land scape has changed….

Republicans play for Keeps….

It IS time for Democrats in Blue States to Wake UP and Do likewise…..

(The new and current media hysteria should be a warning to them)

New York, California and other states need to shake off caution and work HARD to get out the vote AGAINST Trump and Republicans and go Legal against changing House maps…..

 

We ARE moving backwards into a political Civil War in America coaxed by President that was,  and is NOT,  a politician in the traditional  vein….

(Let’s Remember Trump’s  Approval could be as low as the mid 30% to the mid 40%, sadly what will help Republicans in General)

 

Doing the ‘Right Thing’ and playing by the old rules will sentence Democrats,  and America , to country in worse shape then it IS failing to everyday now….

It IS time to get SERIOUS Democrats,  least you be left for the political crumbs….

And not just the party….

ALL of America….

 

It’s important to emphasize that this cycle’s redistricting fight has been surprising from the start, and the details remain in flux. Florida’s new congressional map, which was enacted on the grounds that the Supreme Court’s recent decision invalidates the state constitution’s prohibition on gerrymandering, faces serious legal challenges. Litigation is ongoing in other states, including Virginia. And so far, only Tennessee has enacted a new map in response to the Supreme Court’s decision on the Voting Rights Act. Louisiana, South Carolina and Alabama are expected to follow, but maybe one or two will not — or maybe additional states, red or blue, will join the fight.

But if everything stays as is — and with Alabama, South Carolina and Louisiana enacting new maps — Republicans will obtain a significant structural advantage. To win the House, Democrats could need to win the House combined national popular vote by around four percentage points, according to our estimates.

A four-point structural advantage wouldn’t be enough to make the Republicans favorites to win the House, but it gives them a real shot at it. In polling averages, Democrats lead by six points on the so-called generic congressional ballot, which asks voters which party they’ll support for Congress. But if Republicans make gains between now and November or pull off enough victories in key races, they could have a chance to retain control of the House even while losing the national vote by a significant margin.

A different way to consider the Republican advantage is to look at the kinds of seats they would need to win. Here, the most popular measure is the median congressional district — the district that would serve as a tipping point for House control. By this measure — after the Southern states redraw their maps — the median district will have voted for Mr. Trump by 5.5 points in 2024, or about four points more Republican than his 1.5-point margin in the 2024 national popular vote.

By each measure, Democrats need to win districts that voted Republican by a comfortable margin, though it may not be quite as challenging as it sounds. For one, there are nearly 50 districts where Mr. Trump won by five to 15 points. Democrats do not need many to break their way, and historically breakthroughs like these tend to happen when the national environment swings decisively in one direction.

For another, many districts that backed Mr. Trump by a wide margin have a recent record of voting for Democrats, including many with large Hispanic populations and many of the newly Republican districts created in this cycle’s redistricting wars. As a result, many Republican gains from redistricting might fail to materialize in this national environment: Democrats might hold districts like Florida’s 25th or 14th; Texas’ 28th, 34th or 35th; or North Carolina’s First.

And Democrats might flip some of the seats they targeted in their ill-fated Virginia gerrymander the old-fashioned way, like Virginia’s Second or even Virginia’s First.

On the other hand, these seats are so Republican that it’s easy to see how Democrats could fail to break through. If the Supreme Court’s Voting Rights Act decision and Mr. Trump’s mid-cycle redistricting campaign allowed Republicans to win the House while badly losing the national vote, it would be yet another blow to the credibility of American institutions during a time of bitter division….

More….

Note….

As Nate Cohn points out….

NOT All of the swing districts and even Republican district’s seem to be in-line for the Republican House and Senate people…

Voting since Trump 2.0 began has been STRONGLY tilted TO Democrats….

And remain pointed in THAT direction

So?

Republican efforts to jerryrig thing’s may fall flat anyways….

(Not all the media predictions of leap gains in Red States will occur BY the November elections)

But?

Democrats need to get on their ‘A’ Game and pray that Donald Trump’s fuck up’s continue…..