— A House forecasting model based on post-World War II history, the number of seats the presidential party holds going into the midterm, and House generic ballot polling can give us a good sense of what might happen in the House. — However, one important factor that the model … [Read more...] about Sabato’s outfit STILL has the Democrats taking a US House Majority even with redistricting dancing….
election forecasts/projections
More House Races Lean Towards the Democratic Midterm Wave….
Ain't NO secret folks.... Hakeem Jeffries is looking GOOD to be the Democratic Speaker of the US House of Representatives come Jan. 1, 2027.... And? Donald Trump IS gonna have a on-going headache for 2 years after, at Least..... And Democrats should be Happy ole … [Read more...] about More House Races Lean Towards the Democratic Midterm Wave….
Early Democratic Presidential Nomination Considerations….
It is very much Biden’s to lose. 90+% odds, if I had to guess. But the fact is, contrary to thboys in the bubble who want to manufacture consent for the President, it will be the most spirited battle we’ve seen against an incumbent President since 1992, though not one that will … [Read more...] about Early Democratic Presidential Nomination Considerations….
Pollster’s/Pundits bite their nails on predictions….
This Politico piece is contrasting with Real Clear Politics.... You should be aware that RCP IS a LEAN Right outfit that does exclude some lean Left polls..... It wouldn’t be election eve if pollsters weren’t nervous. At a base level, the final surveys in the states that … [Read more...] about Pollster’s/Pundits bite their nails on predictions….
BREAKING…NBC projects Republicans keep the Senate…Democrats gain a House Majority…
CNN joins them in the overall call... We have more races to be called, but things are actually going the way this Dog and most pundits have thought it would turn out.... That Democrats would gain a majority in the Senate was counting on a 'miracle'.... As … [Read more...] about BREAKING…NBC projects Republicans keep the Senate…Democrats gain a House Majority…