It is very much Biden’s to lose. 90+% odds, if I had to guess. But the fact is, contrary to thboys in the bubble who want to manufacture consent for the President, it will be the most spirited battle we’ve seen against an incumbent President since 1992, though not one that will culminate in the party’s loss of the White House.
Marianne Williamson is gaining major traction with Millennial and Gen Z voters with her Instagram and TikTok-centered campaigning. And she’s probably also a lock to win New Hampshire(they are torqued off at the administration’s prioritizing of SC’s Primary) and maybe Iowa, too(their once dominant party is now in shambles, she at least provides an adrenaline shot)
As to the sideshow of RFK Jr, he may gain a foothold with black voters who are wary of both the Covid shots(the memory of the Tuskegee Experiments, fallaciously but understandably, still lingers) and Biden’s having governed more to the left than how he campaigned(to his credit, in my opinion, but I don’t pretend others agree with me).
Biden still gets a dominant win in the Southern states with Black support, matching his 2020 performances. And the three key words for Biden in Nevada are “The Reid Machine.” Having been close with Harry, he can count on them. But Marianne has real odds at parring with or exceeding Bernie’s last campaign. The only game changer is if Joe Manchin runs and actually gains traction as a different flavor of establishment Democrat who will govern from the center.
Not too likely, IMO.
Ghost of SE @ Pliticaldog101
SE is the only person on the internet who predicted Donald Trump would be President before he first announced.
Ur up SE…….
Scott P says
My Name Is Jack says
Kennedy and Williamson are likely at their high points right now.
Most of their “support “ such as it is ,is based on name as regards Kennedy and opposition to Biden as regards the basically unknown Williamson.
As people learn more about them and their weirdo views their support will fade .
Neither are factors in anything, merely conversation pieces as we have here.