And he's ahead where he needs to be.... But NOT by nearly enough to be resting on his lead like Hillary Clinton did four years ago.... It's those swing states that REALLY count.... And to expect Biden wins in some of the Red states that he's close or ahead in now is to … [Read more...] about Joe Biden is rocking the National Polls…But the state polls ARE what counts….
Projections /Forecasts
Joe Biden looks like a winner in November….Stuart Rothenberg
Add Rothenberg to the growing list of us pundits that see Donald J. Trump as a one term President.... More than two months ago, even before COVID-19 became all-consuming in our lives, I wrote a column arguing that the presidential race had changed from a toss-up/tilting … [Read more...] about Joe Biden looks like a winner in November….Stuart Rothenberg
Democrats chance for a US Senate majority increase…
The early pessimism about Democrats chances to make NY Senator Chuck Schumer the US Senate Majority Leader is falling away... Pundits seem to feel that Democrats could end up with a clean sweep of the American government political spots come the aftermath of election day … [Read more...] about Democrats chance for a US Senate majority increase…
Here’s when the coronavirus will peak in your state…
For what’s worth? The Hill has the IHME model post up…. It’s unofficial but you can look at ur state peak guess from them…. It guesses a country wide peak on the date Cuomo said a few weeks ago…. April 15, 2020…. My state is listed as Apr 9 – 10 Remember… This … [Read more...] about Here’s when the coronavirus will peak in your state…
Sabato early April 2020 …November Presidential Toss-Up…Senate Tie?…
Things seem to be much better for Democrats then they where 6 months ago... But close across the board... — We are not dramatically revising our outlook for the presidential election, at least not yet. — That said, several rating changes in the Electoral College and … [Read more...] about Sabato early April 2020 …November Presidential Toss-Up…Senate Tie?…
Nate Silver points to a Joe Biden surge BEFORE the South Carolina primary vote…
Silver WAS firmly in the Bernie Sanders camp... Don't seem like that anymore... Nate Silver @NateSilver538 The problem for Bernie (and Steyer) is that the trendlines in South Carolina are strong for Biden. His leads are bigger in post-Nevada … [Read more...] about Nate Silver points to a Joe Biden surge BEFORE the South Carolina primary vote…
How Joe Biden keeps above the pack…The Mitt Romney 2012 scenario …
...from the Sabato Crystal Ball people.... How Biden endures History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes. Joe Biden doesn’t rhyme with Mitt Romney, although one of the words emblazoned on the side of Biden’s bus (malarkey) sort of does. More to the point, we are … [Read more...] about How Joe Biden keeps above the pack…The Mitt Romney 2012 scenario …
Democrats could make more gains in the House….
Roll Call has ratings changes.... Even if the national political environment isn’t as bad for the GOP as the midterm elections when they lost 40 seats, there’s little evidence that President Donald Trump will dramatically improve his 2016 performance in key competitive House … [Read more...] about Democrats could make more gains in the House….