An early forecast from Alan I. Abramowitz over at Larry Sbabto's political blog..... In the last election, Democrats won 235 seats in the House of Representatives to 199 for the GOP with one vacancy remaining to be filled in a special, do-over election in North Carolina’s … [Read more...] about 2020 Congressional results….Sbato’s Cyrstal Ball…Good News for Democrats?….
Sabato Crystal Ball
Toss-Up...... Even with the 2018 Midterms and Donald Trump's 40% or so approval numbers..... -- Our initial Electoral College ratings reflect a 2020 presidential election that starts as a Toss-up. -- We start with 248 electoral votes at least leaning Republican, 244 at … [Read more...] about Sabato Crystal Ball early 2019 electoral college numbers….
As the Crystal Ball has noted repeatedly since early 2017, the Senate elections in the 2018 cycle feature two contrasting forces: highly polarized, partisan voting in elections running up against a tendency for non-presidential party incumbents to do well in midterms, even in … [Read more...] about August 2018 Sabato US Senate historical look for the November midterms…