Their two forecasting model's both favor Joe Biden winning on election day .... This compliments almost every other forecaster's call.... (FiveThirtyEight 's projection) It has been tough for them.... They have had to get over the 2016 Donald Trump 'surprise' win … [Read more...] about Sabato Crystal Ball joins the others in forecasting a good size Joe Biden win….
Sabato Crystal Ball
Add another pundit to the others forecasting a Biden win ….
Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman over at Sabato's Crystal Ball joins most of the political pundits forecasting a more than even chance that Joe Biden will win the Presidential Election next month.... The piece also points to gains for Democrats in the House and a possible … [Read more...] about Add another pundit to the others forecasting a Biden win ….
How Joe Biden keeps above the pack…The Mitt Romney 2012 scenario …
...from the Sabato Crystal Ball people.... How Biden endures History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes. Joe Biden doesn’t rhyme with Mitt Romney, although one of the words emblazoned on the side of Biden’s bus (malarkey) sort of does. More to the point, we are … [Read more...] about How Joe Biden keeps above the pack…The Mitt Romney 2012 scenario …
Sabato Crystal Ball…2020 Electoral College numbers 50/50 right now…
It's 14 months out and Kyle Kondik over at the Crystal ball has the REAL people who pick the American President as split down the middle on who would win the Presidency... Remember ... Poll are out here, but they actually choice is done just by the state … [Read more...] about Sabato Crystal Ball…2020 Electoral College numbers 50/50 right now…
2020 Congressional results….Sbato’s Cyrstal Ball…Good News for Democrats?….
An early forecast from Alan I. Abramowitz over at Larry Sbabto's political blog..... In the last election, Democrats won 235 seats in the House of Representatives to 199 for the GOP with one vacancy remaining to be filled in a special, do-over election in North Carolina’s … [Read more...] about 2020 Congressional results….Sbato’s Cyrstal Ball…Good News for Democrats?….
Sabato Crystal Ball early 2019 electoral college numbers….
Toss-Up...... Even with the 2018 Midterms and Donald Trump's 40% or so approval numbers..... -- Our initial Electoral College ratings reflect a 2020 presidential election that starts as a Toss-up. -- We start with 248 electoral votes at least leaning Republican, 244 at … [Read more...] about Sabato Crystal Ball early 2019 electoral college numbers….
August 2018 Sabato US Senate historical look for the November midterms…
As the Crystal Ball has noted repeatedly since early 2017, the Senate elections in the 2018 cycle feature two contrasting forces: highly polarized, partisan voting in elections running up against a tendency for non-presidential party incumbents to do well in midterms, even in … [Read more...] about August 2018 Sabato US Senate historical look for the November midterms…