The Republican Rove goes back to Mitt Romney getting politically ran over by the Obama campaign to predict the Biden effort against Trump.... Will Trump Prove to Be Another Romney? Karl Rove: “Like Mr. Biden, President Obama was vulnerable headed into his re-election … [Read more...] about Karl Rove on Democrats pounding Trump for a 2024 Biden win…..
Forecasts/Projections
Politicaldog’s SE Predictions for the 2022 Midterm Elections….
My official predictions just over one week out from the Midterms… Senate Races AK: Lisa Murkowski(R/I-Incumbent) 53-47 after RCV AZ: Mark Kelly(D-Incumbent) 50-47 CO: Michael Bennet(D-Incumbent) 52-42 FL: Marco Rubio(R-Incumbent) 52-47 GA: Raphael Warnock(D-Incumbent) … [Read more...] about Politicaldog’s SE Predictions for the 2022 Midterm Elections….
Democrats seem ready to hold and increase their US Senate Majority ….
In a briefing on the airport ramp by Senate Majority Leader Schumer for the President , Schumer told Biden he belives they will hold their Senate majority.... Schumer has access to internal polling..... Today the NY Times Siena College poll seems to back up Schumer's … [Read more...] about Democrats seem ready to hold and increase their US Senate Majority ….
The House Democrats won’t get rolled…Pelosi….
Another pundit is now saying that Democrats ARE expected to lose their slim US House majority.... But? There probably is NOT be a 'Red Wave' blow-out .... Is that why Nancy Pelosi said out loud she thinlks she'll still be Speaker when the dust settles after the November … [Read more...] about The House Democrats won’t get rolled…Pelosi….
Polling show Democrats Gaining or Holding their own….
Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight joins the pundit chorus saying Democrats seem to a bit more shape them the early forcasts that they would lose their shirts and other things in the No0vember Modterm elections.... The bottom line will be who and how many people come out and … [Read more...] about Polling show Democrats Gaining or Holding their own….
Warning…Poll’s sometimes get things wrong…..
Nate Cohn over at the NY Times is flashing warning sign's. for November... The pundit song fore the past month has been Democrats in accessionthis midterm election..... Cohn goes back and looks at the polls vs the 2020 vote.... Democrats did NOT come out as good as the … [Read more...] about Warning…Poll’s sometimes get things wrong…..
Sabato Crystal Ball joins the others in forecasting a good size Joe Biden win….
Their two forecasting model's both favor Joe Biden winning on election day .... This compliments almost every other forecaster's call.... (FiveThirtyEight 's projection) It has been tough for them.... They have had to get over the 2016 Donald Trump 'surprise' win … [Read more...] about Sabato Crystal Ball joins the others in forecasting a good size Joe Biden win….
Polling stuff…Open Thread for August 6, 2020…
Interesting times for polling .... On the national polling scene .... Trump vs Biden is running either still Biden by a blow out or closer now.... Depends on which polling house.... Harry Enten below says Trump has stopped declining in the polls due to the protest's … [Read more...] about Polling stuff…Open Thread for August 6, 2020…