Things seem to be much better for Democrats then they where 6 months ago…
But close across the board…
— We are not dramatically revising our outlook for the presidential election, at least not yet.
— That said, several rating changes in the Electoral College and Senate generally benefit Democrats.
— Many governors are getting high marks for their responses to the crisis; even for those elected in 2018, the most consequential and high-profile test of their tenures is probably happening right now.
Table 1: Crystal Ball Electoral College rating changes
|State||Old Rating||New Rating|
|Colorado||Leans Democratic||Likely Democratic|
|Maine||Leans Democratic||Likely Democratic|
|North Carolina||Leans Republican||Toss-up|
Table 2: Crystal Ball Senate rating changes
|Senator||Old Rating||New Rating|
|Martha McSally (R-AZ)||Toss-up||Leans Democratic|
|David Perdue (R-GA)||Leans Republican||Likely Republican|
|Susan Collins (R-ME)||Leans Republican||Toss-up|