Two weeks out.... Nate Cohn on his view of the status of the polls two weeks out from Election Day.... With two weeks to go, the polls of the presidential election are starting to run out of room to get any closer. Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump are essentially tied — … [Read more...] about Slight shift to Trump in the polls….Harris with a slim lead….
Polling
Harris leads Trump 2-1 in the early voting…..
This is against most current polling model's that favor Trump by a hair.... Update....NOT ALL If the margin of early voting holds? Trump's voters may not be able to save his effort..... Going back to a earlier view.... Abortion seems to be the push for the … [Read more...] about Harris leads Trump 2-1 in the early voting…..
Donald Trump seems to actually HELP Democrats…..
Nate Silver explains why having Trump around has actually HELPED the Democrats .... Trump lost the popular vote in 2016. And Joe Biden’s 4.5-point margin over Trump in 2022 is obviously nothing to sneeze at against an incumbent, although the race was closer in the … [Read more...] about Donald Trump seems to actually HELP Democrats…..
Political Betting market company Polymarket funny business to support Trump?
There IS a new report that the betting outfit COULD be working to help the Trump Presidency campaign..... ...In the puzzle that is the 2024 election, many people are turning to prediction markets offered by Kalshi and rivals such as Polymarket or PredictIt. They lure some to … [Read more...] about Political Betting market company Polymarket funny business to support Trump?
Is there an effort to influence the Harris/Trump polling numbers in Trump’s favor?
Hmmmmmm? How come in the last two weeks the Rightleaning Polling outfits have number's DIFFERENT than others? In doing so? It would seem that those numbers ARE influencing the polling models for some of the networks and guys like Nate Silver and Nate Cohn.... Harris … [Read more...] about Is there an effort to influence the Harris/Trump polling numbers in Trump’s favor?
Are Republican generated polls skewing the polling averages ?
Are thes polls trying to prop up Donald Trump's numbers in the National and Swing State polling? Yes, says Dan Pfeiffer..... If he's right? Harris could post a win closer to what the national polls are running at with Harris AHEAD by about +#% points whic just about at … [Read more...] about Are Republican generated polls skewing the polling averages ?
The Question the Media is Quiet on ….An American Woman President?
A Mixed/Black Kamala Harris…… Will votes be able to deal with THAT when they actually cast their votes? Will they be so bothered that they will hold their noses and vote for Trump? Polling seems to say this isn't a issue.... We'll see.... The concern has … [Read more...] about The Question the Media is Quiet on ….An American Woman President?
Harris to do Swing States this week….
Three weeks out and counting.... She's got the lead in enough places to get to 270.... But she HAS TO actually get there on Election Day.... Vice President Harris is blitzing through the states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan this week, as polls tighten and … [Read more...] about Harris to do Swing States this week….