Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight joins the pundit chorus saying Democrats seem to a bit more shape them the early forcasts that they would lose their shirts and other things in the No0vember Modterm elections.... The bottom line will be who and how many people come out and … [Read more...] about Polling show Democrats Gaining or Holding their own….
Nate Silver @ FiveThirtyEight
More testing IS gonna find more virus cases…
As more states reopen we have media outlets pursuing a slam against the governors because there are more virus cases being reported... The media 'gotcha' isn't really a 'gotcha' at all... Common sense would have that if look for something? You WILL find it.... And the … [Read more...] about More testing IS gonna find more virus cases…
NY Gov Cuomo Virus update 4/7/2020…Leveling down?….
NY Gov Cuomo reports higher deaths but other numbers HAVE dropped (some as much as 50%) as the virus cases seem to be holding or even decling in the state that still leads the nation....Remember there IS a lag in some numbers, which would mean the plateau was a few days ago … [Read more...] about NY Gov Cuomo Virus update 4/7/2020…Leveling down?….
Joe Biden is STILL the Democratic nomination leader…
We are just 3 months out from the primaries and a year out from the general election and Biden still leads the pack .... His RealClear Politics average numbers have opened up from a just before the October debate when Warren was just a hair behind him....She now trails him by … [Read more...] about Joe Biden is STILL the Democratic nomination leader…
Nate Silver thinks Beto O’Rourke just Could beat Ted Cruz down in Texas….
A month out the FiveThirtyEight guy does a lot of talking about how factors OTHER than the polls could be signaling a possible upset win for Democratic Beto O'Rourke in the Texas US Senate race... So when I build election forecasts for FiveThirtyEight, I’m usually not … [Read more...] about Nate Silver thinks Beto O’Rourke just Could beat Ted Cruz down in Texas….