These pundits have bounced around but crawl back to a Harris/Walz win in the end. by a hair...Nate Cohn Ducks... Nate Silver.... At exactly midnight on Tuesday, I pressed the “go” button for the final time on our election model this year. I knew it was going to be close. I … [Read more...] about Election Day….Nate Silver and Harry Enten models’ pick Harris by a slim margin…..
Harry Enten
Add White College Grads to Harris supporters……
Blacks.... Latino's.... Asian's.... College Grads.. Now White College Grads...... CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten on Monday said Vice President Kamala Harris is polling exceptionally well among white voters who have graduated college... ... “Let’s … [Read more...] about Add White College Grads to Harris supporters……
Joe Biden Needs States …Not National Leads….
Reality Check people... The President of the United States gets elected by getting a majority of state votes.... NOT the popular vote like every other political contest in America... Right now in mid March 2024 Biden is roughly equal with Donald Trump.... But in … [Read more...] about Joe Biden Needs States …Not National Leads….
Biden 2024 2nd Term Win path…MidWest NOT the South?….
Harry Enten, CNN gives a common sense analysis..... It don't look like Georgia, or the Carolina's are gonna come in for him this time.... Enten points to Michigan, Wisconsin and maybe Arizona and Nevada for Biden to get to 270 Electoral votes to keep his government … [Read more...] about Biden 2024 2nd Term Win path…MidWest NOT the South?….
Republicans join Donald Trump in his alternate universe….
Harry Enten, over at CNN does a piece on connection between the Capitol protest/violent actions, the 2020 Trump loss and Republicans ..... The events of January 6 and its aftermath can be difficult to fathom. A number of Republicans don't seem to comprehend them at all. They … [Read more...] about Republicans join Donald Trump in his alternate universe….
Some indications that Democrats could lose their majorities in Congress next year…
Recent history tends to put general election White House and Congressional party majority wins as a signal for the next midterm election losses....The following midterm tends have more of a reactionary vote from the losing party voters and the majority party voters relax riding … [Read more...] about Some indications that Democrats could lose their majorities in Congress next year…
Biden ties in Nevada and leads in South Carolina…Poll
Harry Enten takes a look beyond the media obsession with the two first small states in the Democratic nomination race. His read out of numbers point to a race for the nomination pivoting for the Biden/Warren narrative back to actual 3 way race for the nomination with Joe Biden … [Read more...] about Biden ties in Nevada and leads in South Carolina…Poll
Could the polls be UNDERestimating the Democratic wave?
That's question Harry Enten over at CNN is asking this morning 50 something days out form the November Midterm elections.... He went back to 2006 and found the wining party from the midterms did about 3% better across the board from the polling forecasts in district polls vs … [Read more...] about Could the polls be UNDERestimating the Democratic wave?