Buyer Beware..... Why Forecast Models Aren’t Any Better Than Polls Natalie Jackson: “Forecasts based on polls and election ‘fundamentals,’ like what FiveThirtyEight, The Economist, and Nate Silver produce, are more intriguing from an empirical standpoint. The … [Read more...] about A reality check on the polling model’s…..
Polling
Harris keeps bringing up Abortion ‘Rights’ in her campaign…..
Polling and voting has been SOLIDLY FOR Women's Abortion Rights after the Supreme's threw the national abortion right to the states with the Alito 5.... Donald Trump has tried to dance around the issue claiming credit for the decesionson access going back to the … [Read more...] about Harris keeps bringing up Abortion ‘Rights’ in her campaign…..
Democrats are now looking to capture North Carolina Governor’s Job…
For Democrats statewide and Presidential wide? Every little bit helps..... North Carolina Governor Shifts to Likely Democrat Cook Political Report: “Things already weren’t looking great for North Carolina Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson’s chances in the race for … [Read more...] about Democrats are now looking to capture North Carolina Governor’s Job…
Harris to campaign with Oprah Winfrey in Michigan….
Donald Trump isn't serious about campaigning 47 days out from Election Day 2024.... Yesterday in NYC and Long Island.... Today in Washington D.C.... Huh? Kamala Harris has been saturating Pennsylvania , a state she leads in and Tump needs to win...... And will be … [Read more...] about Harris to campaign with Oprah Winfrey in Michigan….
Trump said he might take New York?….He Won’t…..
He told his fantasy to a Long Island crowd last night.... Forget THAT..... The New York Governor, Democrat Kathy Houchul , is probably gonna be a one termer.... Siena College New York State Poll: Harris Leads Trump by 13 Points, 55-42%, Similar to 53-39% in … [Read more...] about Trump said he might take New York?….He Won’t…..
Things are tight for Trump in Georgia…..
Red State? Last time around he LOST there.... The GOPer's there are working to try to give him an edge not matter what the actual votes comes out to..... Latest poll has Trump up by +3% But? Four years ago Trump was up by a average 1.3% Right now? He's only … [Read more...] about Things are tight for Trump in Georgia…..
Harris increasingly looks like a Win….
I'm NOT gonna be so worried about making mistake.... I've seen enough..... The Kamala Harris/Tim Walz campaign IS looking like a winner 49 days out.... Harris isn't Hillary Clinton.... She's smarter, stronger has learned from the Hillary and Biden … [Read more...] about Harris increasingly looks like a Win….
Harris leading in ‘Must Get’ Pennsylvania….
She's been camping out there..... It's working.... Harris Holds Small Lead in Pennsylvania A new USA Today/Suffolk University poll in Pennsylvania finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump among likely voters, 49% to 46%. It was completed entirely after last … [Read more...] about Harris leading in ‘Must Get’ Pennsylvania….