Buyer Beware..... Why Forecast Models Aren’t Any Better Than Polls Natalie Jackson: “Forecasts based on polls and election ‘fundamentals,’ like what FiveThirtyEight, The Economist, and Nate Silver produce, are more intriguing from an empirical standpoint. The … [Read more...] about A reality check on the polling model’s…..
Polling Models
Daily Kos chews on the latest Wash Post poll…..
Media editors sometimes have their OWN agenda with stuff they 'report'.... Well, maybe for the first time in history, the Post decided not to create a likely voter model. However, if you go to the research firm that actually executed the survey, you get a story that puts the … [Read more...] about Daily Kos chews on the latest Wash Post poll…..