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Larry Sabato Forecasts/Predictions

Sabato looks at the House and Senate 2026 Midterms….Middle June….

June 11, 2026 By jamesb

The Senate..... — We are making three Senate rating changes this week, all in favor of Democrats. North Carolina moves to Leans Democratic, and Alaska and Ohio are now Toss-ups. — This makes the Democrats’ path to the majority clearer, but we still favor Republicans in the … [Read more...] about Sabato looks at the House and Senate 2026 Midterms….Middle June….

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: 2026 Midterm US House Elections, 2026 Midterm US Senate Elections, Congress, Larry Sabato Forecasts/Predictions, Media, Politics, Sabato Crystal Ball 2026 predictions

Democrats are STILL in line to Retake the House…..

May 1, 2026 By jamesb

The media hysteria over the Alito & Co. Supreme's gutting the Voting Rights Law is probably over hyped... Not EVERY Red State has gonna redraw their House districts ... And? If forced to? Blue states could also do so.... Doing these things take time and money … [Read more...] about Democrats are STILL in line to Retake the House…..

Filed Under: Courts, Government, Law, Media, Other Things, Politics Tagged With: . Voting Rights Law cutbacks, 2026 redistricting House seats, Cook Political Report, Government, Larry Sabato Forecasts/Predictions, Law, Media, Politics, US House, US Supreme Court

Sabato…Mamdani is NOT the Democratic Path Ahead…..

June 25, 2025 By jamesb

A sobering counter to Big Apple Mayor Politics... Larry Sabato @LarrySabato I’d argue that the nominations of Spanberger in VA and Sherrill of NJ for Governor are far more indicative of the future … [Read more...] about Sabato…Mamdani is NOT the Democratic Path Ahead…..

Filed Under: Government, Media, Other Things, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2026/2028 Democratic Politics, Democrats, Government, Larry Sabato Forecasts/Predictions, Media, NYC Mayor Mamdani Primary win, Politics

Sabato joins the Harris Favored to Win group…….

November 4, 2024 By jamesb

Most of the serious pundits and pollsters HAVE moved to Harris favored to win.... (They ARE carrying the 2016 Clinton loss on their backs) Not a blow out..... But she has the better chance of making Trump 0-2..... Sabato bounces around but settles on … [Read more...] about Sabato joins the Harris Favored to Win group…….

Filed Under: Politics, Polling Tagged With: Harris win projjection/forecast, Larry Sabato Forecasts/Predictions, Media, Politics

Republican Voter Suppression actions probably won’t work

February 3, 2022 By jamesb

That’s the view from Larry Sabato’s political shop….. In the aftermath of the high-turnout 2020 election, many Republican-controlled state governments have passed legislation that Democrats believe will harm their party’s voter turnout. -- However, voting rules did not … [Read more...] about Republican Voter Suppression actions probably won’t work

Filed Under: Government, Law, Other Things, Politics Tagged With: Larry Sabato Forecasts/Predictions, Politics, Republican Voter suppression efforts

Sun Belt and West are trending Democratic…How do Democrat’s run next year ?

March 21, 2019 By jamesb

If you look at the map graphic on the bottom? You will notice that it shows a slight advance to Republicans..... Sabato's Kondik cautions that the map 's (Which is about the Electoral college)  is just that a map's.... But the Democratic nominee is gonna have to convert … [Read more...] about Sun Belt and West are trending Democratic…How do Democrat’s run next year ?

Filed Under: Government, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2020 Democratic Politics, 2020 Democratic Presidential campaign's, 2020 Election Politics, Electoral College, Larry Sabato Forecasts/Predictions

22 Republican Senator’s are up for re-election come 2020….

December 14, 2018 By jamesb

Sabato's Crystal Ball does an early handicap of the 2020 US Senate races.... Most of the 34 US Senate seats up for voting ARE Republican...But most of those seats are in Trump friendly states.... If Democrats duplicate their midterm push in voting and the can take the … [Read more...] about 22 Republican Senator’s are up for re-election come 2020….

Filed Under: Government, Politics, Polling Tagged With: 2020 US Senate races, Congress, Democrats, Larry Sabato Forecasts/Predictions, Politics, Republicans

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