The call centers on the observation that Democrat Beto O'Rourke has been closing the gap on GOP US Senator Ted Cruz in the polling...... I did a piece on this yesterday.... In it I doubted that O'Rourke will be able to unseat Cruz.... I still don't.... The polling on … [Read more...] about Cook people move Texas US Senate race to Lean GOP from Likely ….
Polling
Texas US Senate race is a nail biter?
Maybe? Probably not..... While there is a new poll out with Cruz and O'Rourke only 2% points apart, with Cruz leading? The down ballot polling has Republicans in this Red state well ahead.... Would someone vote party line all the way, but vote for the Democrat for the … [Read more...] about Texas US Senate race is a nail biter?
Some Polls from Real Clear Politics 8/1/18…..
Wednesday, August 1 Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread Ohio 12th District Special Election - Balderson vs. O'Connor Monmouth* Balderson 46, O'Connor 45 Balderson +1 Arizona Senate - Republican Primary ABC 15/OH Predictive … [Read more...] about Some Polls from Real Clear Politics 8/1/18…..
Problem…Sanders and Warren have the SAME Democratic base…..
Joe Biden is crusin on the top of 2020 Democratic Presidential polls..... One the reasons is the above .... The left wing of the Democratic party is split between Senator's Sanders and Warren.... If they BOTH stay in the race next year? Come 2020? Joe Biden is the … [Read more...] about Problem…Sanders and Warren have the SAME Democratic base…..
NY Governor Cuomo leads Cynthia Nixon in the polls 2 to 1….
There isn't a doubt in the who will be the New York Governor come 2019.... The Democratic primary for Governor says this... A new Siena poll in New York finds Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) continues to hold a dominant lead over primary challenger Cynthia Nixon (D), 60% to … [Read more...] about NY Governor Cuomo leads Cynthia Nixon in the polls 2 to 1….
Florida US Senate race narrows a tick towards Democrat Sen. Nelson….
The latest poll has the margin down to the MOE with Scott ahead in numbers.... Republican Governor Scott seems to only squeak by in his recent wins.... Outspent by nearly 3-1, Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) is trailing Gov. Rick Scott by a marginal 3 percentage points in a new … [Read more...] about Florida US Senate race narrows a tick towards Democrat Sen. Nelson….
Battleground districts multiply in surprising places….Democrats seek to benefit….
Nate Cohen over at the Upshot is out with a piece that reasons that some of the Trump won districts around the country that have well educated voters....AND ...Also some blue collar working voters are slipping away from Republicans... If he has this right? Democrats could, … [Read more...] about Battleground districts multiply in surprising places….Democrats seek to benefit….
Lawmakers and others don’t support Trump as much as Republican voters do….
NBC's First Read is out with a piece that examines how lawmakers in Congress continue to quietly NOT give Trump everything he wants and outside groups NOT happy about Trump's continued push for a trade war.... The problem is that it appears that Republican voters STILL support … [Read more...] about Lawmakers and others don’t support Trump as much as Republican voters do….