Iran…Trump…Conflict/War…Evening… June 15, 2026…Trump ‘s Deal has Holes in It …

A ceremonial signing of the agreement is to take place on Friday in Geneva. U.S. officials said Vice President JD Vance would be there, along with President Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, and the president’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff.

On Sunday, the United States and Iran signed a framework agreement ending their monthslong war, but a day later, officials on both sides were making conflicting statements about its terms.

The agreement’s immediate scope was focused primarily on ending military strikes and allowing traffic to resume through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global shipping lane. But American and Iranian officials acknowledged that they had put off discussions of their most serious disagreements until a later round of talks.

The agreement did not appear to fulfill the objectives Mr. Trump set when the United States and Israel began the war in February: destroying Iran’s military capabilities, abolishing its nuclear ambitions and toppling its theocratic leadership.

For his part, Mr. Netanyahu on Monday appeared to distance himself from the deal, and to suggest that he did not feel bound by it. “That’s his decision,” he said, referring to Mr. Trump.

Mr. Netanyahu made clear that his country intended to pursue its battle in Lebanon against Hezbollah, the Iran-backed militia that began opening fire on Israel after the war with Iran began.

“The struggle has not ended,” he declared.

Still, for all the confusion, news of the deal was enough of a relief that oil prices tumbled, and Iranians expressed wary optimism that a war that has killed thousands could soon end.

Mr. Trump said the deal would restart safe passage of oil tankers through the strait as soon as Friday, solving a problem that didn’t exist until the United States and Israel initiated the war. Returning the strait to its prewar conditions could relieve Americans of soaring gas prices, a political liability for the president, but experts say that will take months.

After that, a 60-day period of negotiations toward a comprehensive peace agreement would begin. The talks are likely to be complex, and the deal could still come apart.

Abbas Araghchi, Iran’s foreign minister, said on Monday that negotiations would grapple with two issues on which neither side has shown much willingness to compromise: easing American economic sanctions against Iran and limiting Tehran’s nuclear program. And they will be made more difficult, he said, by “a history of broken promises.”

In an interview with CNBC, Mr. Vance acknowledged that the Trump administration still had “very important details to figure out” in the next phase of negotiations.

Here’s what else we’re covering:

• Trump calls The Times: In a 28-minute phone conversation that he initiated from the White House, and a brief follow-up call, the president asserted that his decision to attack Iran and blockade its ports had remade the Middle East in America’s favor and saved Israel from nuclear obliteration. Read more ›

• Europe meetings: Mr. Trump is in France to attend a summit of the Group of 7 nations, where the deal will be a major topic of discussion this week. Read more 

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The Guardian…

• With a memorandum ⁠of understanding ⁠between the ​United States ⁠and Iran ⁠​signed, Donald ‌Trump said the strait of Hormuz “will be completely open” by Friday. A signing ceremony is scheduled to take place on Friday in Geneva, which Trump said he will likely not attend.

• The deal included a ceasefire in Lebanon but did not provide for a withdrawal of Israeli troops from areas that they occupied. Lebanon’s prime minister Nawaf Salam has said diplomatic efforts with the US are continuing in order to achieve the full withdrawal of Israeli troops from territory in southern Lebanon.

• However, in his first public address following the deal signing, Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that Israeli forces will also remain in Gaza, Lebanon and Syria “for as long as necessary”. He also announced he would be running for relection.

• Hezbollah has welcomed the memorandum of ⁠understanding ⁠between the ​United States and ⁠Iran, saying it had resulted in ⁠a comprehensive ​ceasefire ‌across ‌all fronts, including Lebanon. In ‌a written statement, the Tehran-backed group warned Israel that it ‌would not accept any attacks ​that violate Lebanon’s sovereignty or targeted its ⁠people. It said Lebanon’s ​inclusion ​in the ​agreement reflected Iran’s ​commitment ‌to ​ending ​the war.

• Fury has continued to mount in India over the US’s refusal to apologise for the deaths of Indian sailors killed in strikes in the strait of Hormuz, further straining relations between the two countries as their leaders meet at the G7 summit in France this week.

• Global oil prices have tumbled amid fresh hopes that a US-Iran peace deal may end the greatest energy supply crisis in the history of the market. The price of Brent crude dropped below $84 a barrel as the new trading week began in financial centres across Asia-Pacific….

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ISW…Iran Update Special Report, June 15, 2026

1. US and Iranian sources have expressed diverging interpretations of some key aspects of the recent US-Iran agreement. The full text of the agreement has not yet been published, which makes it difficult to ascertain which interpretations of the agreement are accurate.
2. Iran’s interpretation of the agreement’s provisions about the Strait of Hormuz would constitute a significant strategic victory for Iran if its interpretation became the recognized reality. Iranian statements indicate that the regime defines an “open” strait as one that remains under Iranian management, which conflicts with US and global commercial interests.
3. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz depends on the risk calculus of shipping companies and captains. Continued Iranian threats against commercial shipping may have a negative impact on the willingness of companies and captains to resume transiting through the strait. Iran’s mine-laying activities and threats to mine the strait are also a key component of this effort.
4. Hezbollah has signaled that it will adhere to the Lebanon ceasefire outlined in the US-Iran agreement and suggested that the group views the agreement as a precursor for Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon.
5. Israeli officials have stated that the IDF will continue to operate in Lebanon to degrade Hezbollah. Hezbollah and Iran could make their implementation of the US-Iran agreement contingent upon the cessation of Israeli operations against Hezbollah in order to push Israel to halt these operations.