Overall Democratic 2028 President Nomination polling average has Harris @ 28.7….Newsom, @ 21.1…..
Harris +7.8
2028 General Election Presidential Average ….Newson +1 over Vance…
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RACE
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POLL
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RESULTS
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SPREAD
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday, February 20 | |||||
| President Trump Job Approval | Rasmussen Reports |
Approve 47, Disapprove 51
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Disapprove +4
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| President Trump Job Approval | RMG Research* |
Approve 47, Disapprove 52
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Disapprove +5
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| Thursday, February 19 | |||||
| 2028 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary | UNH |
Buttigieg 20, Newsom 15, Ocasio-Cortez15, Harris 10, Kelly 10, Pritzker 5, Sanders5, Shapiro 4, Beshear 3, Booker 2
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Buttigieg +5
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| 2028 New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary | UNH |
Vance 53, Rubio 7, Haley 9, DeSantis 6, Paul 5, Scott 3, Gabbard 2, Hawley 1, Cruz0, Ramaswamy
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Vance +44
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| 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination | Yahoo News |
Harris 18, Newsom 19, Buttigieg 13, Ocasio-Cortez 12, Kelly 9, Shapiro , Pritzker6, Booker 3, Beshear , Whitmer
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Newsom +1
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| 2028 General Election: Vance vs. Newsom | Yahoo News |
Newsom 49, Vance 43
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Newsom +6
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| 2026 Georgia Senate – Republican Primary | Quantus Insights |
Collins 36, Carter 11, Dooley 9
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Collins +25
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| 2026 Georgia Governor – Republican Primary | Quantus Insights |
Jackson 33, Jones 17, Raffensperger 8, Carr 5, Dean 0
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Jackson +16
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| President Trump Job Approval | InsiderAdvantage |
Approve 50, Disapprove 46
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Approve +4
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| President Trump Job Approval | Big Data Poll |
Approve 42, Disapprove 55
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Disapprove +13
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| President Trump Job Approval | Yahoo News |
Approve 42, Disapprove 56
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Disapprove +14
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| 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | Yahoo News |
Democrats 44, Republicans 41
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Democrats +3
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| 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | Big Data Poll |
Democrats 50, Republicans 41
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Democrats +9
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| Direction of Country | Big Data Poll |
Right Direction 36, Wrong Track 57
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Wrong Track +21
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| Direction of Country | Yahoo News |
Right Direction 34, Wrong Track 59
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Wrong Track +25
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My personal preferences as of today…
1)Beshear
2)Shapiro
3)Whitmer
4)Kelly
5)Ossof
My feeling is this will be a contest between Harris and Newsom…..
I STLL believe Harris CANNOT win the Presidency even though Hillary actually got MORE votes than Trump on the first go around but lost Electoral College….
Gavin Newsom has been governing the largest, most diverse and complicated state in the Union.
Kamala Harris has never had executive experience of this kind serving as D.A. of San Francisco, Atty-Gen. of California, Senator from California (relatively briefly) and Vice-President of the U.S.
That wouldn’t be a complete disability, but she showed in the 2024 campaign that she has any real grasp of the issues or how to look at them.
Has or Has Not?
I didn’t want to do a new post, but you caught me:
“That wouldn’t be a complete disability, but she showed in the 2024 campaign that she has little real grasp of the issues or how to look at them.”
I agree DSD……
She HAS experience next to throne
But NOT the top
Biden actually the same, eh
Remember ur view
It WILL COME back down the road
Harry Enten over at CNN does a stand up pointing out that it’s been a VERY Long time since the Democratic presidential nomination race was this close going into the next election….
I did post up that Newsom leads the sweepstake’s by only a point or two over Harris….
Enten says this IS very unusual for Dem’s who
Normally would have a clear leader by at least double digits ….
Newsom HAS disappeared in last few weeks from the media front pages
Newsom has been all over the news the past couple of days and the topic of much discussion nationally over remarks he made at an event in Atlanta.
You might have missed all this because you have been preoccupied with snow.
I wasn’t the only one thinking about snow….
I DID post that Harris HAD jumped ahead of him for few minutes….
But that’s over it appears….
Newsom was in Munich….
like the others?
He’s hawking a Book….
My sense is that Newsom is not ready for “prime time” or the national stage or whatever you want to call it. He seems to have had a lot of trauma in his life going back to childhood and that has stayed with him. While, I think it is admirable that he might be somewhat self-aware about his issues and past mistakes, I do not think the American people will see him as the kind of President they want to replace Trump. He seems like someone who genuinely needs to be in therapy.
The thing he said in Atlanta, which has gotten so much coverage, was just so amazingly cringeworthy and politically tone-deaf. It was similar in many ways to Biden and his past gaffes. Still though, his political opponents have twisted and lied about what he said to claim he was being racist. That is not fair, but what he did say was politically bad enough and should be left at that. The fact that his male press spokesman reacted to a female reporter asking a question by telling her to “f&^# off” was really in bad taste and will be seen that way by anybody who is not looking for a Democrat version of Trumpism.
If Newsom runs, and he probably will, I think he will fizzle out like so many other highly touted early contenders have in the past.
Gary Hart; John Edwards; Terry Sanford; Colin Powell (R); Rudy Giuliani (R);…
This is what’s so discouraging about horse-race election reporting, especially this far back in the cycle.
I returned and saw under the sun, that the race is not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, neither yet bread to the wise, nor yet riches to men of understanding, nor yet favor to men of skill; but time and chance happeneth to them all.
— Ecclesiastes 9:11
(1611 Authorised or King James Version)
Ok?
As Enten DOES point out?
In the MAJORITY of times the early Front Runner DOES BECOME the nominee…..
Enten also DOES Acknowledge that the primary sweepstakes race IS RUNNING…..
Especially with Donald as a glaring push for things to hurry up vs the last time, eh?
Newsom dropped down in Jan. BUT IS back up now in the polls….
Harris Newsom….
Emerson
2/21 – 2/22 13 20
Echelon Insights**
2/19 – 2/23 18 24
Yahoo News
2/9 – 2/12 18 19
RCP…..
Wash Post….
Ranking the 2028 Democratic presidential contenders
The early race is wide open.
Top’s for them?
Newsom and Shapiro in that order….
Mid…
Harris
Kelly
Buttigieg
Pritzker
More…
Dark Horses?
AOC
Whitimer
More….
This will fall on politically deaf ears, but the year is 2026 and the first midterm election nominees will be voted on next Tuesday, and such primaries will occur in all 50 states in races for Governor, U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and all sorts of other elections at the state and local levels.
Politically inclined Democrats, who are not among the relatively small group of political professional who may have a financial interest in the 2028 Presidential race, should be focused on making sure the most qualified and most electable Democrats win primaries THIS year.
Hear….HEAR‼️
Meaning that your intense focus and dedication on handicapping a wide open Presidential primary this early, even if you have your personal favorite, is a bit…. much.
It’s EARLY……..
I’m just relating who leads NOW…..
It IS Newsom….