According to FiveThirtyEight?
Probably no much …..
Democrats don’t like the guy ….
Republicans seem to keep giving him slack on just about everything….Including Immigration….
Polls conducted last month, at the height of public discontent with family separations, found that most Americans, including a significant percentage of Republicans, were opposed to the policy. Given that, our best starting assumption is probably that the crisis will prove harmful for Trump and Republicans, and that the best they can hope for is that it will turn out to be neutral for them.
Polls conducted in the wake of the administration’s reversal on separations, however, show that while a majority of Americans still oppose how Trump is handling the situation at the border, Republicans have largely unified in support of him.
According to a recent Quinnipiac poll conducted after the administration changed course on family separations, three in four Republicans said they approved of how Trump was now handling the issue. That’s a notably more positive response than Republicans gave on a related question a month ago, when Quinnipiac asked whether they supported the administration’s policy of separating families and 55 were in favor while 35 percent stood against it.
At the same time, polls show that as the family-separation crisis unfolded, Americans, especially Republicans, began to rate immigration as one of the most important issues facing the nation….
…recent YouGov/Economist polls also show immigration as a rising concern among Republicans. A month ago, 13 percent of Republicans surveyed said immigration was the most important issue for them. Since then, Republicans have become increasingly concerned with immigration. According to the most recent YouGov poll, 21 percent picked immigration as their top concern.1
Did more Republicans start naming immigration as one of their most important issues because they thought Trump was doing the wrong thing at the border and that needed to be fixed? It’s possible, but the polls we have suggest otherwise. Even though polls last month showed Republicans divided on Trump’s family-separation policy, there is little evidence to suggest that it has harmed how they viewed his overall job performance on immigration…..