Despite Conor Lambs thin will a couple of days ago ?
Republicans have actually held their own in the last few Hosue Special elections….
Larry Sabato’s people believe that in the next two contests in the Arizona 8th CD and the Ohio 12th CD?
Republican’s are likely to hold on again…
— An apparent Democratic takeover in a western Pennsylvania House district that President Trump won by 20 points is an embarrassing setback for Republicans.
— The Republicans’ poor special election performances in general, combined with other factors such as the president’s low approval rating and a Democratic lead on House generic ballot polling, suggest the GOP House majority is in considerable danger.
— Republicans remain favored in two pending special elections, AZ-8 and OH-12, but we are downgrading their chances in both. We also are moving three other races in Ohio from Safe Republican to Likely Republican.
— That said, the AZ-8 and OH-12 specials have key differences from PA-18 that may make them easier for Republicans to defend.