Iran…Trump…Conflict…Evening… June 27, 2026…The Fight for Control of the Strait of Hormuz…And Hezbollah

President Trump posted a bellicose message on social media saying the barrage was intended to punish Iran for violating the current cease-fire. He said the U.S. military had hit missile and drone storage locations, as well as costal radar sites.

“There may come a point when we are no longer able to be reasonable, and will be forced to militarily complete the job that we very successfully started,” he wrote. “If that happens, the Islamic Republic of Iran will no longer exist!”

Iran’s state broadcaster reported explosions in the coastal cities of Sirik, Kong and Bandar-e Lengeh near the Strait of Hormuz, an area that has been the target of past attacks. The official state news agency, IRNA, characterized the strikes in its news bulletin as a “violation of the cease-fire.”

Earlier on Saturday, Iran had launched attack drones at Bahrain, officials there said, apparently in retaliation for U.S. airstrikes on missile and drone sites in Iran the night before. The American strikes were themselves a retaliation for Tehran’s decision to attack a container ship on Thursday as it passed through the strait.

Whether the back-and-forth attacks since Thursday will halt the talks to reach a final peace agreement remains to be seen. Each side seems to be testing each other’s red lines and threats, analysts say, but for now, neither side seems eager to return to a full-blown war.

Bahrain accused Tehran of “destabilizing security, exporting chaos and undermining regional stability,” but reported nothing was damaged in the drone attack.

Hours later, a shipping monitor run by the British Navy reported that a projectile had struck the tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. The ship, the Kiku, had left an oil field in Qatar two days earlier, flying a Panamanian flag, the U.S. official said. The strike was likely to further deter ships from passing through the waterway, which Iran had agreed to reopen as part of the cease-fire with the United States.

Before the last several days of attacks, that deal, signed earlier this month, had produced a relative calm in the region. A second, more difficult phase of negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program had started in Switzerland. More vessels were passing through the Strait of Hormuz and there were signs of progress toward an agreement, backed by the Trump administration, that would wind down the war’s second front in Lebanon.

Here’s what else we’re covering:

• Lebanon deal: The Trump administration announced an agreement between Israel and Lebanon on Friday that U.S. officials hope could help end the conflict there. The deal stipulates that Israeli forces withdraw from a small fraction of the territory they occupy in southern Lebanon, making way for Lebanon’s army to take control. But Naim Qassem, Hezbollah’s leader, said the agreement — which effectively calls for the group’s disarmament — was “null and void” on Saturday.

• Global energy: Oil prices had risen after the Iranian attack on Thursday but eased on Friday, falling to levels last seen before the war. The U.S. strikes on Iran came after markets had closed for the weekend.

• Friday’s strikes: The U.S. strikes against Iranian missile and drone targets on Friday lasted about 90 minutes, a U.S. official said. Six fighter jets struck four Iranian sites along the Strait of Hormuz and on Qeshm Island, according to the official, who requested anonymity to discuss the operation….

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ISW….Iran Update Special Report, June 27, 2026

1. Iran has continued to use force to try to deter the United States from undermining Iranian efforts to control the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian forces then conducted a drone attack against US positions in Bahrain on June 27. United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) subsequently reported on June 27 that an unspecified projectile struck a tanker off the coast of Oman.
2. Iran’s strikes against Bahrain may be part of an ongoing Iranian effort to coerce the Gulf states to accept Iran’s control of the strait and deter them from supporting US efforts to undermine Iran’s control. The Iranian Foreign Affairs Ministry responded to the US retaliatory strikes against Iran on June 26 by warning Gulf states not to allow the United States to attack Iran from bases within their territory.
3. The Israel-Lebanon-United States Trilateral Framework challenges Iranian and Hezbollah efforts to facilitate an Israeli capitulation in Lebanon and threatens Hezbollah’s existence as an armed group. The agreement seeks to disarm all non-state armed groups in Lebanon, particularly Hezbollah.
4. Hezbollah is conducting an information operation to weaken the Lebanese government’s resolve to disarm Hezbollah by threatening renewed civil war in Lebanon if the government attempts to implement the framework agreement. Hezbollah has long leveraged the threat of renewed civil war to deter the Lebanese government from attempting to disarm the group.
5. The Iranian regime likely views the framework agreement as contravening the Lebanon-related clause of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding (MoU) and may attempt to use the agreement as a pretext to further delay nuclear negotiations with the United States. ISW-CTP has repeatedly assessed that Iran has attempted to condition US-Iran nuclear negotiations on the United States compelling Israel to halt operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon and withdraw from Lebanese territory as part of its efforts to preserve Hezbollah and delay nuclear negotiations.