From Daily Kos..... I’m seeing quite a few comments about the two week old ABC poll that shows Kamala Harris up +6 among likely voters. While it’s nice to take comfort in this poll after seeing that “bad” NYT poll from yesterday, the fact is the ABC poll is from two … [Read more...] about More on that NY Times/Siena Outlier Poll….
Polling
On Presidential Polls….Open Thread for Sept. 10, 2024
Folks? There ARE ann and ARE Gonna be new polls evryday for the next two months.... Some are gonna be Good.... Some Bad.... One should remember.... Polls are just a snap shot of a group of people in a narrow time frame.... Polling outfit's also add or subtract … [Read more...] about On Presidential Polls….Open Thread for Sept. 10, 2024
About todays NY Times/Sienna Poll with Trump ahead….
It's an outlier..... The race IS close.... But Harris STILL HAS a slim lead...... Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn Trump 48, Harris 47 in the latest New York Times/Siena College national … [Read more...] about About todays NY Times/Sienna Poll with Trump ahead….
Could Florida and Texas vote Harris?
HIGHLY UNLIKELY... Trump leads in polls for those states... But the margin IS dropping against Harris... Could Vice President actually carry either? Nah.... Cause if Democrats was to get them? The election would be a BLOW - OUT FOR the Harris/Walz … [Read more...] about Could Florida and Texas vote Harris?
Donald Trump is NOW worrying swing state voters….
He NEEDS those votes...... Scaring them ain't the way.... For much of the 2024 election, concerns about President Joe Biden’s age and job performance helped paper over the real and long-standing concerns Americans have had about Donald Trump’s character, chaotic style and … [Read more...] about Donald Trump is NOW worrying swing state voters….
Walz ahead of Vance by 11% Points…Poll….
Damn!..... Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D), the Democratic nominee for vice president, is seen more favorably than his Republican counterpart, Ohio Sen. JD Vance, according to a poll released Thursday. The Suffolk University/USA Today survey found 48 percent of likely voters … [Read more...] about Walz ahead of Vance by 11% Points…Poll….
Another Guy predicts a President Harris……
Things ain't looking good for the convicted felon running AGAIN for President... Forecasting Model Predicts Harris Will Win Allan Lichtman has updated his “Keys to the White House” forecasting model and predicts Kamala Harris will win the presidential … [Read more...] about Another Guy predicts a President Harris……
Nate Silver and his prediction market connection….
Most political junkies and pundits regard Nate Silver formally of the FiveThirtyEight blog with reverence.,,,, BIT? Turns out there is a connection that most do NOT KNOW off..,, Silver, who most might associated with Democrats has a business relationship with Peter Thiel … [Read more...] about Nate Silver and his prediction market connection….