Politico: “Given the timetable (less than a week), Johnson’s experience dealing with shutdown politics (near zero), and the level of disarray in the GOP conference (high), the chances of a shutdown are growing.”
“Sources on the Hill and at the White House said they are adjusting travel plans accordingly and preparing to spend the holiday in D.C.”
“A last-minute short-term clean CR is always possible, but over at the White House they are not holding their breath.”
Playbook: “Nobody is rooting for a shutdown, but it isn’t lost on Democrats that the recent political history of these funding standoffs is that they usually redound to the benefit of one party— and it isn’t the GOP.”
The Hill describes Johnson’s funding dance……
House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) rolled out a two-step government funding stopgap bill on Saturday, settling on an unusual approach to avert a government shutdown that is already getting pushback from Republicans with just days until a Friday funding deadline.
The “laddered” continuing resolution (CR) released Saturday would have some funding run out on Jan. 19, and the rest of the funding on Feb. 2 — an approach intended to discourage negotiation of a whole-of-government omnibus funding bill and to encourage the House and Senate to negotiate on the 12 regular funding bills.
The Jan. 19 date would be the funding deadline for government programs and agencies covered under regular appropriations bills pertaining to agriculture, rural development, and Food and Drug Administration; energy and water development; military construction and Veterans Affairs; and Transportation, Housing, and Urban Development.
Funding for all other agencies and programs would run out on Feb. 2, creating the potential for a partial government shutdown before a full government shutdown.
The bill also extends the authorization of programs and authorities in the Farm Bill until Sept. 30, 2024, the end of the fiscal year — essentially adding a one-year extension to those programs from the Farm Bill that passed in 2018….
Larry Sabato thinks Johnson’s proposal sucks….
Political analyst Larry Sabato criticized Speaker Mike Johnson’s (R-La.) two-tier stop-gap government funding billas a “disaster” on Saturday, after days of internal negotiations over the best way to fund the government.
“It’s a disaster. Everybody knows it’s a disaster,” Sabato said in a CNN interview Saturday. “Even if it passes the House, which is hardly assured — there will be all kinds of plans and objections and the rest of it — the Senate isn’t going to go along with this and the President isn’t going to go along with this.”….
“They’ve got one week to go because they wasted three weeks with their clown show picking a new speaker. Really a great start for Speaker Johnson,” he added, sarcastically. “Really great.”….