His lead in just about every poll up to now for the STATE has been a bit over the polling margins of error….
But two new polls by smaller outfits seem to point to a closer race….
The Hill has a piece about the contest between Miami-Dade Hispanic voters who vote Democratic overwhelmingly and Cuban-Amarican ‘s who vote mostly Republicans…
The poll from the firm Bendixen & Amandi International and the Miami Heraldshows Biden garnering 55 percent of the vote in Miami-Dade County to Trump’s 38 percent. While that 17-point lead is well outside the poll’s +/-4.4 percentage point margin of error, it’s well short of Hillary Clinton’s 30-point victory there in 2016.
The survey also found Biden and Trump statistically tied among Miami-Dade Hispanics. The former vice president carried 46 percent support among those voters to Trump’s 47 percent.
There’s little doubt that Biden will win Miami-Dade in the November election. Democratic presidential candidates have carried the county, which encompasses Miami and its suburbs, for decades.
But Trump doesn’t need to win Miami-Dade in November to capture Florida’s 29 electoral votes, and if he’s successful at narrowing Biden’s margin of victory there, it could help him make up for possible deficits in other parts of the state, such as in the swing counties along the I-4 corridor in Central Florida.
Biden leads Trump among white and independent voters in Miami-Dade, according to the Bendixen & Amandi poll. Biden garnered 48 percent support among white voters to Trump’s 44 percent, the poll found. Among independents, the former vice president performs even better, notching a 51-33 percent lead over Trump.
The tight race between Biden and Trump for the support of Hispanic voters in Miami-Dade, however, suggests that the president has seen some success in courting Cuban-Americans, a massively influential voting bloc in Florida and especially in Miami-Dade…..