538 does a long piece on the upcoming US Senate impeachment vote and their numbers come back to about where mine are….
I’m going with 55/45 against the charges….
538 has their call at 56/44 against the House charges….
There are a lot of competing incentives at work in the Senate regarding impeachment. The way it all shakes out, however, is that the removal vote is at about 56-44 in Trump’s favor. That could, of course, change based on additional evidence emerging, public opinion shifting and Republican senators changing their minds. But right now, it’s just hard to see the Senate trial of Trump taking place with any real chance that 67 senators will support removing him from office….
Note…
My early 55-45 to acquit would have Manchin D-WV) and Jones (D-Ala) joining the Republicans…
I reserve the right to change this number….
image…Yahoo
My Name Is Jack says
So after all this it comes down to what we all knew months ago.
There was no way Republicans were going to vote to remove Trump.
Now there’s nothing to do but predict the vote?
Let’s hurry up and get this gigantic waste of time over with and get on to removing Trump by voting him out.
As for Me?I couldnt care less who the vote is.
Scott P says
We’ll at least know Mitt Romney was the boot licking piece if shit we always thought he was.
CG’s glowing remarls on Mitt’s “courage” are going to be hilarious to read once he joins the cult and votes to acquit.
No wonder he’s not around any more.