It’s early June 2019…
A little less than a year out from next years election….
Democrats might be excited about this Emerson poll….
Smart ones will be wary….
Three of the top Democrat ‘s even trailing Biden would beat Donald Trump on the day the poll was taken…
But?
Democrats have been dreaming about a Republican candidate for President for awhile…
They even had their Presidential convention in the state….
Didn’t work….
Trump and North Carolina Republican SHOULD be concerned…
Lot’s of people from up North have retired down there and there are a LOT of young college students down there also…
But?
North Carolina is STILL a Red State…
At least right now it is….
A Democratic win there would mean Trump lost the electoral college for sure ….
A new Emerson Poll in North Carolina finds President Trump’s popularity underwater, with 52% disapproval and 41% approval (May 31-June 3, +/-3.1%). Trump received 50% of the vote to Clinton’s 46% in 2016, carrying the Tar Heel State and its 15 electoral votes. While the President remains popular within the Republican Party – Trump leads former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld 88% to 12%- the President is tied or trailing against four of the top five Democratic opponents, faring the worst against former Vice-President Joe Biden, who is ahead of Trump 56% to 44%.
In the Democratic primary, scheduled to be a part of Super Tuesday on March 3, 2020, former Vice President Joe Biden leads with 39%, followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders at 22% and Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 15%. Rounding out the top 5 are Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 8% and Sen. Kamala Harris at 5% (n=397, +/-4.9%)….
More…
Note…
Right Now?….Biden is sure to win the primary in the state ….
Zreebs says
Obviously early, but very good numbers for the Democrats in North Carolina. I’m a little surprised.
jamesb says
Ah?
Everyone see Biden vs Trump numbers around the country?
It’s early but DAMN!
My Name Is Jack says
I think a lot of this reflects general dislike of Trump as a person,a fact consistently reflected in his strong disapproval numbers throughout his presidency, despite a booming economy.
This is an anomaly rarely,if ever, seen in American politics.
The maxim has always been that so goes the economy,so goes the presidency.Then again,there has not been ,in modern times at least ,such a boorish President as. Trump.
If these trends continue ,and an economic slowdown occurs next year as many are now forecasting,then Trump is in deep trouble.
Scott P says
Yeah imagine if Trump had actually done what many Republicans said he would do and “matured” in office?
He could be at 60% in the polls with the economy as it currently is.
jamesb says
I do not accept the ‘booming economy’ thing….
While the market is up?
The jobless rate down…
And BIG business is making money ?
Middle Class Americans are paying MORE
taxes
Wages ain’t going up much
And we are looking at ANOTHER tax increase from Trump’s trade war…
My Name Is Jack says
The economy is generally considered to be doing well by the standard indices.
The only way to test your theory would be to have pollsters question “why” people “disapprove “ of Trump.Maybe there has been some polling in that area but I’m unaware of it.
Having said that,I doubt that large numbers of those disapproving of his performance are going to reply ,the “economy,” as the reason for their disapproval.
jamesb says
He seems to working HARD to tank the economy
Zreebs says
Economic theory teaches us that the economy is relatively strong right now because of massive deficit spending. If you lower taxes and simultaneously increase spending you will have a strong economy for a few years. Just as a family would appear to be enjoying a higher standard of living if they borrowed massive amounts to buy new things. In the long term, the borrow and spend strategy doesn’t work. See Greece as an example.