Both guys are about 10% AHEAD of Elizabeth Warren….
This plays to the narrative that has been going on the Warren simply is NOT up to getting the Democratic nomination ….
Mayor of South Bend Pete Buttigieg is the flavor of the month replacing O’Rourke…
The first Emerson Poll in Massachusetts of the 2020 primary finds Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders with 26% of the vote in the Democratic field, followed by former Vice President Joe Biden at 23%, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren at 14%, Mayor of South Bend Pete Buttigieg at 11%, former Texas Congressman Beto O’Rourke at 8%, and California Senator Kamala Harris at 7%. 5% of voters are looking for another candidate. (April 4-7, n=371, +/- 5%).
According to Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson Polling, “this is a concern for Warren who at this time does not have a firewall in her home state, and her rival Sanders has a strong base in the Bay State.”
Of those who supported Sanders in the 2016 primary, about 45% plan to support him in 2020. In the 2016 primary in Massachusetts, he captured almost 48% of the Democratic vote against Hillary Clinton.
There continues to be a growing age divide among Democrats, with younger voters breaking for Sanders, and older voters breaking for Biden. Those 18-29 break for Sanders 52%, 15% for O’Rourke, and 10% each for Biden and Warren. Voters between the ages of 30-49 lean towards Sanders and Warren, receiving 27% and 22% respectively. Meanwhile 30% of voters in the age range of 50-64 favor Biden, Warren and Sanders follow with 14% and 13% respectively. Biden is most popular among voters over the age of 65, with the former Vice President receiving 33% of their vote. Mayor Pete follows with 16% of the vote and Sanders with 14%….