NO ONE believe's Harris is gonna actually win Iowa .... Cept J Ann Selzer ..... Below she explains why the pundits and pollstares have been dealing with the 2016 and 2020 Trump numbers and NOT looking at this elections fundamentals .... This from Dem Daily Kos on a Wllie … [Read more...] about Ann Selzer explains why she has a Harris Win in Iowa….
2024 Projections/Forecasts
Cook gives House Democrats good news….
6 House races are moved closer to Democears who are looking to get the majority seats in the chamber come Jan. 1st..... The nonpartisan Cook Political Report on Friday shifted six House races toward Democrats and two contests toward the GOP in its final update before Election … [Read more...] about Cook gives House Democrats good news….
The Harris lead over Trump IS Increasing…Political Polls Sept 22,2024
Notice how many Trump +'s in the Real Clear List below..... Harris IS winning this a little more than. a month out.... The trend from the debate, which Trump will NOT do again, continues FOR Kamala Harris.... POLLSTER DATE SAMPLE MOE HARRIS … [Read more...] about The Harris lead over Trump IS Increasing…Political Polls Sept 22,2024
Fox News moves the race to Harris…….
Post debate has Trump trailing Harris in the Right leaning Fox News ranking.... There are 54 days to the election as I post this.... Ballots ARE already in the mail...... Since Biden dropped out Trump has continued to trend downward in support.... His debate … [Read more...] about Fox News moves the race to Harris…….
Mid June 2024…FiveThirtyEight….Trump ahead slightly…Biden Chance to Win….
Tight race by the polling with Trump ahead by a hair..... But? As been pointed out here..... Post the ex-President becoming a convicted felon? He has begun to slide backwards ever so slightly..... Donald Trump is slightly favored by the polls, but Joe … [Read more...] about Mid June 2024…FiveThirtyEight….Trump ahead slightly…Biden Chance to Win….
Nate Silver on Old Timer Biden AND Trump…..
Six weeks ago, when I considered whether Democrats would be better off nominating someone other than Biden, my conclusion was complicated: With medium confidence, I think the risks of a serious primary challenge to Biden at this point in time would outweigh the benefits … [Read more...] about Nate Silver on Old Timer Biden AND Trump…..