If Iran and Trump can actually find some sort of agreement will things stay settled down?
This HAS been Trump’s MAIN objective in the last 30 days or so…
It is unknown if Iran is getting ‘protection money ‘ from the movement of these ships….
Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz continued to recover over the weekend, although passages through the maritime choke point remained significantly lower than before the war with Iran.
More vessels began plying the waterway after the United States and Iran agreed last month on a temporary cease-fire and began talks for a more lasting end to the conflict, which has throttled energy exports. In recent days, more ships were entering the Persian Gulf than exiting it, a shift from recent weeks, when traffic was dominated by ships leaving the gulf, according to Kpler, a maritime data company.
The recovery in the Persian Gulf, whose producers predominantly use the strait to serve global markets, has helped ease oil prices. The OPEC Plus oil cartel added to the downward pressure on prices when it announced on Sunday that it planned to pump more crude.
The durability of a U.S.-Iran peace agreement “will determine whether the global economy gets an energy-driven disinflation tailwind or absorbs a second oil shock,” said Ryan Sweet, the chief global economist at Oxford Economics.
More than 100 ships in the past three days.
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From Friday through Sunday, 108 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz in both directions, according to Kpler, or 21 fewer ships than the three prior days.
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Traffic had picked up markedly starting on June 20, around when the preliminary agreement between the United States and Iran went into effect. Ship operators pulled back soon after when Iranian forces attacked ships passing through the strait without its permission. Before the war, more than 100 ships a day routinely passed through the strait.
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Iran has said it expects ships to pass through the strait along its coast, not on the opposite side near Oman. The latest shipping data appears to show that more ships in the past week took the Iranian route than the Omani route, where ships have often received help from the U.S. military. Recent passages had been roughly split between the two routes. The traditional route through the middle of the strait is considered dangerous because of the risk of mines laid by Iran’s military.
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Many ships switch off their transponders before navigating the strait, making it hard to identify their precise routes and giving an incomplete view of traffic volumes.
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ISW…Iran Update Special Report, July 5, 2026
- Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz is detrimental to global commercial interests because it enables Iran to selectively determine which vessels may pass through the strait and at what cost. Iranian Ambassador to the People’s Republic of China (PRC) Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli stated on July 4 that Iran will give the PRC “special considerations” in determining the cost of “service” fees because the PRC is a “friendly country.”
- Israel Defense Forces (IDF) Chief of Staff Lieutenant General Eyal Zamir announced on July 5 that the IDF has established control over Hezbollah’s extensive underground tunnel networks in the vicinity of Beaufort Castle, Nabatieh District, in southern Lebanon. The IDF previously established control over above-ground terrain surrounding Beaufort Castle on May 31 and began to seize and dismantle underground Hezbollah infrastructure throughout June.
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