The arguments before the court shows that a majority do NOT seem to support the trans athletes in 29 states…
“Why would we get involved at this point?” Kavanaugh asked.
Twenty-nine states have banned transgender student-athletes from competing on women’s or girls’ sports teams. Supporters of the bans say they are necessary to ensure fairness and safety because of inherent physical differences between males and females. Opponents say the laws discriminate against trans people and should be struck down.
The cases involving student-athletes from West Virginia and Idaho are the latest in which the court will consider LGBTQ+ rights, particularly those of transgender people. In recent years, trans issues have become a cultural and political flash point, and sports competitions that include trans women have sparked public debate about fairness at all levels of competition….
…
Suzanne Goldberg, a law professor at Columbia University who specializes in gender and sexuality law, acknowledged that the conservative justices seemed skeptical of the plaintiffs’ arguments but said that the arguments before the high court were not necessarily a “slam dunk” for the states defending their laws….