Polling DOES have a Mamdani maintaining a Good Lead….
And the numbers of early votes have gone past 400,00…
But?
Who gets the job is gonna depend on WHO votes….
The older the turnout…
The closer the results will be….
Cuomo will carry the colder vote….
But it seems to not be enough according to the polls…
Zohran Mamdani has reason to be confident in the final days of the New York City mayoral race. Andrew Cuomo has reason to keep fighting. Both are saying the contest is far from decided.
As the top two contenders enter the homestretch, new polling, last-minute endorsements and early voter turnout numbers offer a hint at what’s to come: Mamdani is on track to win, but an 11th-hour surprise remains possible.
Mamdani, the Democratic nominee who has led in polls by double-digit margins for the entirety of the general election, instructed his supporters to take nothing for granted.
“People say: ‘We’ve got this.’ ‘It’s over.’ ‘Cuomo is cooked.’ Do not believe it,” he said in a campaign video released Thursday morning. “The billionaires who rigged our economy and tried to buy an election don’t give up easy.”
His video featured a clip of billionaire investor Bill Ackman, who’s poured $1.5 million into anti-Mamdani super PACs this month. Billionaire former mayor Michael Bloomberg also donated $1.5 million to a pro-Cuomo super PAC Wednesday and endorsed the former governor. That support comes a month after Mamdani and the former mayor engaged in what one longtime political adviser to Bloomberg described as a “cordial” discussion between the two. The nod represented a slight sign of hope for Cuomo, who’s running as an independent after losing to Mamdani in the June Democratic primary.
But where Cuomo has the money, boosted by an array of independent expenditure committees spending millions of dollars to help him, Mamdani has the poll numbers.
An Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill poll of very likely New York City voters shows the Democratic nominee with a wide, 25-point lead, winning 50 percent of the vote while Cuomo trails with 25 percent and Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa nets 21 percent. Just 5 percent of voters are undecided, or planning to vote for another candidate.
That poll released Thursday was an outlier, but several other recent surveys have shown Mamdani leading Cuomo by comfortable, double-digit margins — 16 points per Marist University, 10 points per Quinnipiac University and 16 points according to the Manhattan Institute.
With that, Mamdani is focused on keeping his supporters motivated and urging his army of 95,000 volunteers not to be complacent, reminding them that polling a week ahead of the primary showed Cuomo with a comfortable lead. The former governor is brushing off the polls too, noting that nearly 400,000 New Yorkers have already cast votes in the first five days of early voting, which could lead to the highest mayoral election turnout in decades….
…
Voters over the age of 55 made up a slim majority of that early turnout, the Daily News reported. Mamdani polls best with younger voters, and older voters are split between the two — but experts urged against drawing too many conclusions ahead of the Nov. 4 election.
As voters kept pouring into polling places Thursday, the candidates continued to spar…..
image…NY Daily News
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