The current Governor’s wife looks good to replace her husband, so far, in the 2026 Governor’s election…..
Florida’s First Lady hasn’t committed to a run for Governor, but a new poll says she’s in good shape if she decides to make that move.
A survey of Florida Republicans by the University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL) shows Casey DeSantis narrowly leading U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds.
DeSantis has 32% support, while the Naples Republican has 29%. That lead is inside the 3.9-percentage-point margin of error. Also worth noting: two in five Republicans haven’t heard of Donalds, a third-term Congressman, yet ‘Alligator Alcatraz’ has achieved near-universal name ID in a matter of weeks.
Other choices seem to be nonstarters, with 18% of the 797 respondents saying they don’t know who they would support. Former U.S. Rep. Matt Gaetz is in a distant third at 8%, and “someone else” has at 7% support. Miami Mayor Francis Suarez has 2% support, while Agriculture Commissioner Wilton Simpson has 1%.
Interestingly, those who voted in last year’s Presidential Primary break differently than those who didn’t in the DeSantis-Donalds divide.
Among those who didn’t vote in March 2024, 37% support DeSantis while 23% back Donalds. Meanwhile, among those who did participate in the Primary, the numbers flip: 37% back Donalds, while 22% back DeSantis.
Recall that by the time Florida had a Primary, Gov. Ron DeSantis had long since suspended his campaign.
But Dr. Michael Binder, UNF PORL faculty director and professor of political science, believes people who voted in that ultimately ornamental Primary may look more like August voters than those who did not.
“It’s important to note that among folks who voted in the last primary, Donalds is 15 points ahead of DeSantis, and it’s likely those same folks will be the ones voting next August, so this race might not actually be as close as it appears,” Binder added.
DeSantis leads Donalds among women, Hispanics and Latinos, among voters in North and Central Florida, and among those under 65. Donalds leads with men, respondents aged 65 and older, and South Florida voters….
Democrats running…..
Her early polling numbers and where they come from would encourage a run one would think…
It shows the race is tied with a ton undecided and a lot of those people probably think its Ron DeSantis running.
You get a little carried away at times. Nothing new.
Carried away? Like Trump winning an LBJ 1964, Nixon 72 or Reagan 84 type landslide in 2024!?
You have no room to talk on getting “carried away”.
Thank’s again Scott…..
Yes it’s early
But she IS in a good spot
One would guess that ole Donald WILL LOSE. A TON of juice as 2028 approches
Casey DeSantis is probably not going to run. If she does, MAGA will go all in to crush her. They will once again accuse her of faking having had cancer.
Trump has endorsed Donalds and “ One would guess” as you say that DeSantis doesn’t relish another fight with Trump .That is if he cares about a future in the MAGA dominated Republican Party.
And ,of course, an insignificant three point lead in an obscure poll would do little to increase one’s confidence as to making the race at all,contrary to your total misreading of it.
Desperate for someone to agree with you eh?
However Scott’s comment in no way indicated he agreed with you .He was just objecting to CG
Using the words “ carried away.”
In my view her small “ lead” ( being within the MOE) is relatively insignificant .Certainly claiming she is in “ good shape” is way over the top.
And then there’s the Trump slam as usual.Youve been claiming Trump is “ losing juice” for almost ten years now.you have no credibility at all in matters regarding Trump.
In fact I do have support, but my views are about how I feel…..
Anyways?
You’d always want to start a run with the lead
I said 40 states, not 49 and I believe I am right. This is about what would have been against Biden.
Some people are in a Biden Bubble and either have forgotten or do not wish to acknowledge what his political reality became last June and how it would have only gotten worse and worse by the day.
james thinks Biden would have still beaten Trump and Scott thinks Biden would have gotten 47 percent of the vote. One is clearly nuttier than the other but I do not believe either theory is based in reality.
I never jumped on the band wagon to shit on ole Joe……
Compared to Trump ?
He was Damn Good….
Made his mistakes
But at least he carried us thru the end of Covid, helped the economy and didn’t have guys in masked grabbing people off the streets
I always liked Joe Biden but he brought the “ shitting” on him on himself.
He had no business running for reelection in 2024.He was ill served by his staff , his family ( particularly Hunter) and his wife.
What is particularly galling is that he himself had certainly strongly implied that he was only going to serve one term.
His mental faculties were failing fast and it was evident to just about everyone ,including many of the top Democrats who blithely sat back and watched the train wreck occur.
So if you think your weird defense of him now matters?It just shows once again how lacking in knowledge of politics you really are.
Joe Biden was going to lose that election.I won’t speculate on the margin but lose he would have.
Ain’t too many President’s that would accept that SHOULD NOT run for a secomnd term…..
Yes….
Joe Biden WAS ill served by his staff…
I stand by my defense of the man that even TODAY would be a HUGE PLUS for thgis country and the world….
My knowledge of politics IS Aas DAMN good as anyone here, pundits and others….
And I’m gonna keep truckin here for as long as I can….
Thank You….
I agree Biden should have dropped out in 2023.
But CGs out of his mind if he thinks Biden would have been held to 38% as the nominee. That would mean one third of Democratic voters would have just given up on opposing Trump.
That shit just doesn’t happen on either side these days.
Biden was ok until the debate….
I hope Harris does NOT run for President…..
If you disagreed with her on policy matters, or political philosophy, as I do, this would make sense, but I assume you cannot actually point to anything substantial that you disagree with her on.
I would also point out that if she runs and is a bad candidate (again like she was the first time in 2020) she will not get the nomination. You seem to be worried that Democrats will disagree with you and nominate her in a competitive primary.
instead, you are basically saying you do not want her to run because she is not a white male. You seem to think that only white males (straight ones at that) should be allowed to seek the Presidency. You seem to think that since females nominees are 0-2 in Presidential election, that a woman will never become President, and should not run.
All of that just seems very backward. While I definitely did not support him in his race, the achievement of Barack Obama accomplished in being elected President seems like it would have been a far more difficult one nearly a generation ago than a woman would face today in regards to the Presidency. The record did show that james was very iffy on Obama too in that campaign and doubted he would win. He thought Hillary, the female candidate, was safer. I know many of my then fellow Republicans thought then that Obama would be far easier to beat than Hillary. It turns out that he was proven wrong.
I have never claimed to be a Democrat, but james has always said that he is one, but he really sounds like a lousy Democrat at that.
Yup CG….
You got it Right…..
I have said here n numerous time’s….
America is NOT ready for a Woman President….
The record IS 0 for 2…..
NY Post….
Stephen Colbert needles Kamala Harris after she fails to answer simple question
Former Vice President Kamala Harris was unable to say who the current leader of the Democratic Party was in an interview with Stephen Colbert — leaving even the lefty talk show host exasperated.
“The Late Show” host asked Harris — who announced this week she would not be running for governor of California next year — to identify who she believes is in the driver’s seat for her party….
More…
She was the Vice President for FOUR Years….
No, he wasn’t. He was losing. Everyone admits this. That’s why he tried to do the early debate. Was he “ok” physically and cognitively before the debate? Apparently not, according to many who were there.
Had he stayed in the race, regular voters would have taken it as Democrats were “giving up” in the effort to defeat Trump. That is what anti-Trump people like jack and myself were saying on here last June and July and how crazy it was, while others were insisting “Biden will win and it will not even be close.”
Had he not dropped out, after all the incessant calls for him to do so, and after his fundraisers dropping out, there are so many voters, who did vote for Harris, that just would not have voted for Trump.
Some Harris voters would have voted for Trump out of anger at Biden or the feeling that he was the only viable option. Others would have went to Jill Stein or the Libertarian or someone else or did a write in.
Many more would have left the top of the ballot blank or just stayed home entirely.
A fairly significant 2024 Presidential turnout would have been much much smaller in a race between Trump and an already rejected but stubborn Biden. MAGA voters would have still been motivated and it would have been an overwhelming lanslide, something along the lines of 56-38 and 40 states.
Sure, Scott, who deserves recognition for being a loyal Democrat, who has been involved in the party since his 20s, would have voted for Biden no matter what, but far less people than he realizes would have been willing to do the same in November of 2024.
Harris voters that would not have voted for Biden, it should say.
No he wasn’t.
The debate just showed to the whole country how out of it he really was.
Thats a ridiculous statement.
But not surprising.
The debate was a graphic….
People need to SEE things….
They are generally not as smart as you Jack….
And what did you have to say about Bidens transparent deterioration?
“ Joe Biden ain’t going anywhere”
In response to calls for him to step aside.
A lot of this ,of course ,was your juvenile urge to figuratively stick out your tongue at those of us who were calling for his dropping out. Most of this though was you actually believing there was nothing at all wrong with him.
He wasn’t
He got shoved
Cost the whole damn world
We end up with a felon Con artist
Be Happy Jack?
Another bumpy day for Donald…..
So let’s get this straight now …
You think that if Biden hadn’t been “ shoved” out as you say,
He would have beaten Trump?
That’s the only conclusion one can reach based on your words,”cost the whole damn world” implying that Biden leaving the race caused Trumps election which further implies that if he hadn’t been” shoved” he would have beaten Trump.
No
I keep saying he was ‘pushed’ out
And?
I keep saying I’d take HIM
Right NOW OVER Trump
I think 45-46% is the floor for any major party nominee in our current polarized political environment without a major 3rd party.
A Democratic nominee going against Donald Trump being held to 38% is truly “nutty”
Everyone has a right to their view, but as people who have been interested in politics for years and who have expressed devotion to a party, I think it can be forgotten how the “regular person” thinks.
By last summer, the vast majority of the country, including most who had voted for Biden in 2020, decided that the idea that he could be or should be President until the year 2029 was preposterous. Every day he stayed in after the debate made things worse for him. People were angry he did not accept reality and drop out.
He eventually did. Had he not, this situation would have compounded itself more and more. This would not have been anything like any sort of typical election. It would have snowballed in a massive way. It would have been brutal in September and October and right up to Election Day. Absolutely brutal.
I would bet money that a Donald Trump endorsed candidate is not going to lose a primary for Governor in the State of Florida.
In regards to this discussion and the claim that I am overestimating the amount Trump would have beaten Biden by if Biden did not drop out.
For one thing, we do not know if he would have actually campaigned or not. He would not have had nearly as much money to do so. Campaigning probably would have been very bad for his health. We now know what we did not (and we are told he did not know) then that he had advanced cancer in 2024 and it continuing on with a campaign, along with serving as President, might have been extremely bad for his health.
That is only one aspect though. What we would have seen is scores of downballot Democrats, looking at polls, and only wanting to save their own careers, would have publicly broken with Biden and told voters that it was ok to not vote for him as long as they voted for them to Senate, House, local office, whatever. The party would have been in absolute shambles. I see no way that he would have managed to lose respectfully with 47 percent of the vote or something like that. The average Democrat (this is not counting the people who go to meetings and post on blogs etc) was just over him.
Democrats should be very grateful he dropped out when he did or it would have been far worse for Democrats all down the ballot despite Hunter Biden and james b thinking that it amounts to “shitting on him” to recognize this reality.
I did not watch it, but the CNN panel is ripping apart Kamala Harris’s appearance on Colbert. Apparently, she did not come across well. If she is to have a political future, she needs to learn how to do some things better.
Again though, the flaws of politicians tend to be related to them as individuals. It is just lazy to assign blame because of gender. I believe theoretically that a politically talented and ideologically compatible female can easily win the White House.
She’s digressing to Biden’s level….
Just proves she isn’t right for the nomination like I said….
I’ve never been a particular fan of Kamala Harris, either in her 2020 primary debates (“I was that little girl”) or in the 2020 general election. She was in any kind of national office for less than a decade, and has no deep grasp of the issues (of course Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama had spent little time in federal office when they ran, but they all qualified as data and policy nerds.
Having said all that, and having seen Kamala Harris’s interview with Stephen Colbert in its entirety (or as much as was broadcast nationally), I have to say that she didn’t strike me last night as having been particularly weak, ill-informed, or gaffe-prone.
Did Biden deserve to be “pushed out?” Yes or No. Simply question.
You would take him over Trump. I would take a random name from the phone book (not that those exist anymore) over Trump but this is not the point.
Joe Biden has Stage Four cancer, apart from the other age related issues he has been dealing with. Wishing the Presidency on him right now is cruel for him personally and would be dangerous for America.
The correct answer is to say, at least for someone who claims to be a Democrat, “I wish Kamala Harris were President right now.” (I would have other names.)
U may wish….
I DO NOT….
AGAIN…..
Trump OR BIden RIGHT NOW?
BIDEN….
Easy Choice for a Registered Democrat….
You won’t even accept the premise that Harris would be preferable to Trump. You claim to have voted for her, but before Biden dropped out, you said you would not commit to voting for any Democrat besides Biden.
Put Trump aside for this discussion. You have made it clear you would prefer to be President of the United States, 82 year Joe Biden with Stage Four cancer, than Kamala Harris. To me, that shows you are living in a different reality. Why do any of us humor you all these years later? It’s sort of unfair.
RIGHT NOW I keep repeating Biden over Harris…..
Yes….
I DID want Biden OVER Harris…..
A BETTER Reality than Trump…..
ANYTIME
Irrational
The poor guy was out of it for long stretches.Many times he had to be guided around because he was unsure where he was at.He “ worked” basically four hours a day.
Do you ever do anything besides spend your time here babbling on incessantly on subjects you quite obviously have little if any understanding of ?
You should read Jake Tappers book.
You won’t because your “ philosophy “ ,very much like Trumps I might add ,is” don’t confuse me with the facts .”