This is against most current polling model’s that favor Trump by a hair….
Update….NOT ALL
If the margin of early voting holds?
Trump’s voters may not be able to save his effort…..
Going back to a earlier view….
Abortion seems to be the push for the increased voting…
This is issue Republicans have been running away and hiding from…
It would appear it is NOT working right now….
Oh?
Early voting records are being broken just about EVERYWHERE ….
Democrat Kamala Harris has a sweeping lead over Republican Donald Trump − among voters who have already cast their ballots, that is.
A new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll shows the vice president leading the former president by 63%-34%, close to 2-1, among those who have already voted.
That preference turns around among those who plan to wait until Election Day to vote, with Trump ahead 52%-35%.
As some states have begun early mail-in and in-person voting, one in seven respondents said they had already voted. A third said they plan to vote early; that group supported Harris by 52%-39%. And nearly half said they’ll wait until Election Day.
Overall, Harris was favored by 45%, Trump by 44% − a coin-toss contest.
The poll of 1,000 likely voters, taken by landline and cell phone Oct. 14-18, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Among those who have already voted, one in five volunteered “abortion rights/women’s rights” as their most important issue, second only to the economy/inflation.
The early turnout among Harris’ supporters carries advantages for Democrats.
“First, large Harris voter leads are being banked every day,” said David Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center. “Second, it gives the Harris campaign some time to persuade Election Day voters.” That would include appeals to “some previously reliable Democratic voters who have drifted away over the past few weeks, like young Black and Latino men.”….
…
The early votes for Harris are also boosting Democrats down the ballot.
Those who have already voted say by 63%-33% that they support Democratic congressional candidates. Overall, the poll found a 47% Democratic to 45% Republican split on the generic congressional ballot….
…
Update…
Better News for Harris….
U.S. House Odds
(((Harry Enten)))
@ForecasterEnten
A rather important development: Harris appears to be slightly outperforming Biden 2020 among Trump’s base of non-college White voters.
This is key because they make up a ton of the electorate, especially in MI, PA & WI. Explains why she’s holding her own in MI, PA & WI.