Not by a BIG Margin …
But she’s ahead …
Trump is NOT.….
A quick review of the polling averages on FiveThirtyEight:
- National: Harris +2.6
- Wisconsin: Harris +2.6
- Michigan: Harris +1.4
- Pennsylvania: Harris +0.6
- North Carolina: Harris +0.1
- Nevada: Tied
- Georgia: Trump +0.8
- Arizona: Trump +0.9
You can game out the electoral vote on my interactive map.
….
|
RACE
|
POLL
|
RESULTS
|
SPREAD
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday, September 12 | |||||
| National: Trump vs. Harris | Reuters/Ipsos |
Harris 47, Trump 42
|
Harris +5
|
||
| National: Trump vs. Harris | New York Post |
Harris 50, Trump 47
|
Harris +3
|
||
| National: Trump vs. Harris | Rasmussen Reports |
Harris 47, Trump 49
|
Trump +2
|
||
| National: Trump vs. Harris | Morning Consult |
Harris 50, Trump 45
|
Harris +5
|
||
| Michigan: Trump vs. Harris | InsiderAdvantage |
Harris 48, Trump 49
|
Trump +1
|
||
| President Biden Job Approval | Rasmussen Reports |
Approve 43, Disapprove 56
|
Disapprove +13
|
||
National – All Polls
| Sep 12 | Redfield & Wilton (C-) | 2500 lv | Harris +2% | 44% | 42% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sep 10 – 11 | YouGov (B+) | 1022 lv | Harris +4% | 49% | 45% | 1% | |||
| Sep 11 | Morning Consult (C+) | 3317 lv | Harris +5% | 50% | 45% | ||||
| Sep 10 | Morning Consult (C+) | 3204 lv | Harris +4% | 50% | 46% | ||||
| Sep 6 – 8 | Morning Consult (C+) | 10607 lv | Harris +3% | 49% | 46% | ||||
| Sep 11 – 12 | IPSOS (B) | 1405 lv | Harris +5% | 47% | 42% | ||||
| Sep 10 – 11 | Leger (C-) | 1174 lv | Harris +3% | 50% | 47% | ||||
| Sep 3 – 5 | Cygnal (B) | 1510 lv | Harris +2% | 49% | 47% | ||||
| Sep 3 – 5 | Cygnal (B) | 1510 lv | Harris +2% | 46% | 44% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Sep 8 – 10 | YouGov (B+) | 1462 rv | Tie | 45% | 45% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sep 3 – 9 | Activote (-) | 1000 lv | Harris +2% | 51% | 49% | ||||
| Sep 3 – 5 | Marist College (A+) | 1164 lv | Harris +3% | 51% | 48% |
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
Post-debate poll by Morning Consult
🟦 Harris: 50%
🟥 Trump: 45%
——
Pre-debate – 🔵 Harris +3
Debate day – 🔵 Harris +4
Post-debate – 🔵 Harris +5
#116 (1.8/3.0) | 3,204 LV | ±3%
https://pro.morningconsult.com/instant-intel/harris-trump-first-debate-poll
Image
2:05 PM · Sep 12, 2024
·
142.8K
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Her debate ‘Bounce’ IS REAL….
Harris Jumps Out to a 5-Point Lead Nationally
A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump nationally in a head-to-head match up, 50% to 45%.
In a multi-candidate field, Harris lead by a similar 48% to 44% margin.
In last month’s poll just after the Democratic convention, Harris led by a narrow 47% to 46%.