The American minority vote ALWAYS goes Democrat and will do so this November…..
Recent poll’s showing a softening of support for Democratic President Joe Biden will NOT change that….
Faced with a choice between Biden and Trump?
It WILL come home or at worst stay home….
Racial realignment?
“Realignment” is the holy grail of American politics — the fantasy of every political consultant who wants to usher in a new era of Democratic or Republican dominance.
What’s a realignment? It’s a lasting shift in the partisan allegiance of the country, or at least a large demographic group. Think, for instance, of the rise of Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal coalition, or the realignment of the South from Democrats to Republicans after the enactment of the Civil Rights Act. These are epochal, defining moments in American history.
With that in mind, try to imagine how wide my eyes got when I read an article in The Financial Times arguing that America is undergoing a “racial realignment,” seemingly based on the resultsof our last New York Times/Siena College poll, which found President Biden leading by a slim 10 points among nonwhite voters, a group that usually backs Democrats by 50-plus points.
This claim strikes me as, at best, premature. The general election campaign is barely underway, and poll results in February do not constitute a realignment. As we have written several times: No one should be remotely surprised if Mr. Biden ultimately reassembles his support among Black and Latino voters. Alternately, many of the dissenting voters may simply stay home, as they did in the midterms. This would be bad for Mr. Biden, but it would be no realignment.
Perhaps a more interesting question is whether the current polling would count as a realignment if it held in the final results. Clearly, it would be a significant shift with hugely important electoral consequences, both now and beyond. In the final account, it might clearly demarcate a post-Civil Rights era, when Democrats could count on overwhelming support from nonwhite voters, from a new era when they cannot.
But even in the worst case for Democrats, Mr. Biden would probably still win among Black, Hispanic and Asian American voters. This would arguably fall short of counting as a wholesale realignment in political preferences…
…
Mass deportations of undocumented immigrants, for instance, may not be the way to cement an incipient realignment of young, nonwhite and Latino voters….
image…ABC News
“ Realignment?”
Way too early to claim that.
Further, as is well known ,polls today have little meaning ,other than as a snapshot of present thinking.
However, there does appear,presently at least, that there is some evidence of Black and Hispanic movement toward Trump.Whether such is real or nothing more than a minor flirtation will likely be more clear in late summer.
Still, a dismissive attitude by our moderator is uncalled for too.I don’t think anyone believes that Black or Hispanic voters will cast a majority of their ballots for Trump.Of course they will still cast a majority for the Democrats but if Trump were to increase his share of that vote by even 10% or so?
Yeah that would be quite significant.
I’m with Nate….
This is just dissatisfaction with GAZA images and Biden NONE presence ….
Minorities are JUST NOT gonna vote FOR Trump….
U can rest assured that ads fro Biden and Democrats ARE going to point out Trump rants AGAINST Blacks, Immigration, Asian and Arab Americans and of course the Muslim Ban….
I AM dismissive because actually general election voting pattern’s WILL bear me out….
That’s so funny.
Nate’s article is much more in line with my post than your well known pom pom post.
Of course, with your well known lack of reading comprehension,you don’t even understand that.
Nate HAS come under criticism for his pessimistic view of the race recently….
The piece DOES give advice that I have stressed here repeatedly……
It’s good to see others get challenged….