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By jamesb
She has eclipsed Ron DeSantis in the national polling averages ….
BUT?
Donald Trump still leads her by big double digits…..
(The media IS jazzing this up against Trump’s huge lead in the polls…)
The FiveThirtyEight polling average shows Nikki Haley has pulled ahead of Ron DeSantis for second place nationally in the Republican race for president.
But she still trails Donald Trump by 47 percentage points.
…
A new UMass Lowell/YouGov poll in New Hampshire finds Donald Trump leading the Republican presidential primary race with 52%, followed by Nikki Haley at 22%, Ron DeSantis at 10%, Chris Christie at 6% and Vivek Ramaswamy at 4%.
…
A.B. Stoddard: “Many Republicans have hoped, since Christie defended Haley against attacks from Vivek Ramaswamy at the last debate, that he would come around and endorse her in the end.”
“But Christie isn’t buckling twice. Credited with having helped smooth the path for Trump’s nomination in 2016, he has now gone all in on trashing his former friend and is clearly determined to spend every remaining day telling the truth about Trump’s lies, corruption, and crimes. Dropping out to clear the field would mean supporting a candidate he knows is going to lose to Trump anyway, and who refuses to tell that truth.”
“Haley is a talented, smart, ambitious, hypocritical phony. And she is going to endorse Trump. And if he asks her to be his running mate she is going to accept. So backing Haley would defeat the purpose of Christie’s campaign, which is to truth-bomb the GOP, injure Trump, and redeem himself.”
Note…
Do NOT be surprised if Nikki Haley does MUCH better in the polls….
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Decision Desk HQ
@DecisionDeskHQ
DDHQ Poll Alert: 2024 Republican Primary (New Hampshire)
Trump: 37%
Haley: 33%
Christie: 10%
DeSantis: 5%
Ramaswamy: 4%
Hutchinson: 1%
American Research Group / 600 LV / Dec 27-Jan 3
Haley has increased by 14.8% since Nov 1 in our polling average.
If these polls are on point?
Haley just COULD be closing on Trump NH…..
ARG is a C rated poll by 538.
Haley has been campaigning hard in NH .
Whether she has closed the gap that much though ?
LOL at Hutchinson still being in the race.
Right now Trump is expected to win Iowa by 30 or 40 points.
Caucuses have been known to surprise and in the new Trump dominated GOP the low information sometime voter that is now the party base is NOT the typical caucus goer.
In other words Trump will certainly win Iowa. But if he only wins by low double digits it will be big news. And if his supporters–who unlike supporters of previous caucus winners–are not the most active voters it *could* cause the results to be far different from what the polls are now showing in the Hawkeye State.
Also?
Dem’s CAN vote in any party in NH and that could skew things away from Trump….
The media would go NUTS!….
But Trump is leading in Haley’s SC……