Democrats in America continue to out perform polls and prediction’s in the post Trump Era…..
RightWingNut’s on every level have done a DAMN good job helpiing Democrats by continuing to back an ex-President facing 91 criminal charges and push strick abortion limits that wnsure people will come out and vote against that….
Keep up thye Good Work GOPer’s!
it’s worth noting that Democrats had a pretty darn good night tonight, and this is part of a consistent pattern. In Kentucky, not the bluest of states, Democrat Andy Beshear is on track to be re-elected governor by several points. In Ohio, ballot initiatives to create a constitutional right to abortion and to legalize weed passed easily. In Virginia, Democrats should maintain control of the state legislature. And although Democrat Brandon Presley will probablyfall short of the holding Tate Reeves to a runoff in the Mississippi gubernatorial race, it’s not a bad margin for a Democrat in such a red state.
And really, this has been the new normal. Consider all the elections since Donald Trump became president in 2016 when Trump wasn’t on the ballot himself:
- Nov. 2017: Democrats fairly easily win the gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey, defying pundit expectations.
- Dec. 2017: Democrats win a special election to the U.S. Senate in Alabama! Granted it was against someone who was accused of sexually assaulting a 14-year-old girl. But they won a Senate race in Alabama!
- Nov. 2018: Democrats have a strong midterm, gaining 41 seats in the House and winning the popular vote for the House by almost 9 percentage points, although they lost two Senate seats.
- Nov. 2019: Democrats win two out of three gubernatorial races in red Kentucky, Louisiana and Mississippi.
- Jan. 2021: Democrats win two U.S. Senate runoffs in Georgia, overachieving their performance from Nov. 2020 to take control of the Senate.
- Nov. 2021: This year is a big exception. Democrats narrowly lost the Virginia gubernatorial race in what had increasingly been a reliably blue state, and only narrowly held on in New Jersey.
- Summer 2022: Democrats have a series of extremely strong electoral performances after the Dobbs verdict, including in special elections to Congress and a Kansas abortion referendum.
- Nov. 2022: Democrats hold Republicans to a 9-seat gain in the House and actually pick up one seat in the Senate in one of the historically stronger midterms for the president’s party.
- Dec. 2022: Democrats again win a Senate runoff in Georgia to keep Raphael Warnock’s seat.
- Sept. 2023: Democrats win control of the Wisconsin Supreme Court.
- Nov. 2023: Another good D night; see above.
I honestly don’t think I’m cherrypicking these results too much. I should point out, I guess, that Democrats didn’t do well in the Louisiana gubernatorial racelast month. There have also been various instances in which progressives lost battles to moderates, but those aren’t R-versus-D confrontations. In general, Republicans have consistently done badly in the Trump era when Trump himself wasn’t running…..
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But it’s been one hell of a devil’s bargain: a choice between mediocre results with Trump on the ballot or outright poor results without him. And without a lot of other models of electoral success — John McCain and Mitt Romney lost; George H.W. Bush was a one-termer, and George W. Bush ended his tenure as an extremely unpopular president — it’s not clear how the GOP breaks out of the trap.
National Review’s Jim Geraghty has a useful corrective view from the other side, for example that a good 2015 for Democrats did not usher in a successful 2016.
THE MORNING JOLT
ELECTIONS
Yet Another Disappointing Election Night for Republicans
Jim Geraghty
about 13 hours ago
On the menu today: Are you tired of all the winning yet? Eh, maybe that joke isn’t all that fair, as Donald Trump wasn’t on the ballot yesterday, and conservatives hit one disappointment after another for rather non-Trump issues — the popularity of the Beshear name in Kentucky, the pro-Democratic reflex of Virginia’s electorate, and the fact that even deep-red Ohio isn’t comfortable with the notion of sweeping restrictions on abortion.
Don’t Panic over Last Night’s Results
This is where I’m supposed to decry the outcome of last night’s elections and say that all is lost for Republicans.
No doubt they’re disappointing and ominous for the GOP, but the results last night are not reason for panic. The elections in the year before the presidential election are a little odd — much lower turnout, governors’ races in a trio of Southern states with their own quirky histories and dynamics, and intense waves of advertising in state legislative races that usually fly under the radar.
Democrats are cheering last night’s results, saying they demonstrate that Joe Biden wasn’t a drag on his party this year. And obviously, he wasn’t, but . . . how much were voters thinking about Biden when selecting a governor in Kentucky or state legislators in Virginia or New Jersey? Similarly, as much as I believe Donald Trump repels at least as many voters as he attracts in much of the country, how much were voters thinking about him when he wasn’t on the ballot?
If you look back eight years to 2015, you see Republicans won two governors’ races (Kentucky, Mississippi) and lost one (Louisiana). This year, Republicans won two governors’ races (Louisiana, Mississippi) and lost one (Kentucky). (Jeff Landry won the Louisiana governor’s race in the first round in October, and everyone seems to have forgotten about that.)
Back in 2015, the Virginia state legislature barely changed, with the state Senate remaining the same, and Democrats picking up one state House seat. Democrats entered last night with 22 Virginia state Senate seats, and as of this writing, they’ve won 21 seats with votes for two others still being counted. Entering last night, the Virginia House of Delegates was split, with 48 Republicans, 46 Democrats, and six vacancies. As of this writing, it has 51 Democrats and 47 Republicans, with the results from the aforementioned two seats still up in the air.
In other words, Election Night 2015 was a not-so-great night for Republicans, and I think you remember what happened the following year. This doesn’t mean that bad off-year elections are precursors of good years for either party. It just means that low-turnout off-year elections in a handful of states can only tell us so much about the overall national political environment….
continuted here…
YO?
Last Night was a shit sandwich for Republicans….
So much that the outfoing Virginia Repubican Governor has siad he ain’t gonna run for President down the road….
Dress it up anyway U want?
Them GOPer’s ARE in Deep Shit…..