I made this point in a post yesterday….
Democrats and the media ARE going batshit crazy over the NYTimes/Siena Poll yesterday that showed Biden behind Trump in some critical states…
The poll IS a year out…..
Obama’s polling was at about the same place at this time in his first term…..
And he pulled things out for a second term….
He survived the bottom falling out of the economy to boot….
David Frum posts on Twitter a good point for Biden & Co.
‘The president has a popularity problem. He needs to remind Americans
who he isn’t….’
@davidfrum
It’s the second half of the president’s third year. His approval numbers have hit dangerous lows; his disapproval number is over 50%. Biden? No. Obama 2011. news.gallup.com/poll/159965/ob
David Frum
@davidfrum
When wise people explain Biden’s bad poll numbers, they cite objective facts in the real world: inflation, crime, etc. Yet Obama had almost an opposite set of facts (no inflation in 2011!) – and got almost exactly the same poll numbers.
David Frum
@davidfrum
My hypothesis: Obama/Biden poll numbers in 2011 and 2023 tell us less about the world – more about the inherent problems of managing the Democratic coalition, which is always more fractious and fissile than the (smaller) Republican coalition.
David Frum
@davidfrum
I explain and defend my hypothesis here – and offer some suggestions about what Biden might most usefully do next. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/
David Frum
@davidfrum
Bottom line. A Democratic president’s problems originate in the realm of symbols and stereotypes, not realities. He is going to be cast as too soft, too weak, too biased in favor of disfavored minority groups. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/
